Primera LPFMatchday 10

Lanus 2-1 Estudiantes L.P.: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Nicolas Ramirez

Our tips

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: NoLost61%

at least one side without a goal in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (54% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost15%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLanus163942%32%Draw32%31%Estudiantes L.P.170625%37%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS39%46%O2.531%40%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Estudiantes L.P.0:1LanusW
  2. Lanus2:1Estudiantes L.P.W
  3. Estudiantes L.P.0:2LanusW
  4. Estudiantes L.P.3:1LanusL
  5. Lanus1:1Estudiantes L.P.D
Lanus's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.5league 8.7under 9.5: 65%Expected corners: 8.5 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards5.1league 5.1over 4.5: 57%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.lost · ended 4
RefereeN. Ramirez+0.4 cards vs average19 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 0.8total 1.9Attack/defence1.3 : 1.0total 2.3
Lanus : Estudiantes L.P.
Most likely scores
Market1-015%0-015%1-114%0-111%2-09%2-1—Attack/defence1-013%0-010%1-113%0-110%2-08%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-015%1-013%0-00-015%0-010%1-11-114%1-113%0-10-111%0-110%2-02-09%2-08%2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals86%80%80%
1X – home team avoid defeat74%72%72%
Under 2.5 goals69%60%60%
12 – no draw67%71%71%
Our tip: Both teams to score: no61%54%54%
Over 1.5 goals59%67%67%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%57%57%
1 – Lanus win42%43% · Elo 32%43%· Elo 32%
Under 1.5 goals41%33%33%
Both teams to score: yes39%46%46%
X – draw32%29% · Elo 31%29%· Elo 31%
Over 2.5 goals31%40%40%
2 – Estudiantes L.P. win25%29% · Elo 37%29%· Elo 37%
Over 3.5 goals14%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Lanus attack vs Estudiantes L.P. defenceattack1536defence1537−1 pts to the attack
Estudiantes L.P. attack vs Lanus defenceattack1536defence1516+20 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Estudiantes L.P. matches average only 6.4 corners (league 8.7) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Estudiantes L.P.: only 10 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Lanus: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Estudiantes L.P.: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Lanus1262415:920
9Estudiantes L.P.1242615:1314
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P.?

Lanus 2-1 Estudiantes L.P. (half time 1-0).

Did the Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P. tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: No. The tip lost.