Primera LPFMatchday 7
Boca Juniors 1-0 Lanus: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Alberto Jose Armando, Buenos Aires
- Referee:
- Pablo Dovalo
Our tips
Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won65%
referee Pablo Dovalo averages 4.4 cards a match, league average 5.1
For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Won48%
referee Pablo Dovalo averages 4.4 cards a match, league average 5.1
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS43%44%O2.538%41%|exp. goals 1.5 : 0.8not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Lanus0:3Boca JuniorsW
- Boca Juniors0:0LanusD
- Lanus1:0Boca JuniorsL
- Boca Juniors1:1LanusD
- Lanus0:1Boca JuniorsW
Boca Juniors's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.7over 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 14
Cardsleague cards4.8league 5.1under 5.5: 65%Expected cards: 4.8 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 28%.won · ended 3
RefereeP. Dovalo−0.7 cards vs average17 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 0.8total 2.2Attack/defence1.5 : 0.8total 2.3
Boca Juniors : LanusMost likely scores
Market1-014%1-113%0-012%2-011%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-014%1-112%0-010%2-011%2-19%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-014%1-014%1-11-113%1-112%0-00-012%0-010%2-02-011%2-011%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 82%79% | 79% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 79%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65%68% | 68% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62%59% | 59% |
| Both teams to score: no | 57%56% | 56% |
| 1 – Boca Juniors win | 50%54% · Elo 55% | 54%· Elo 55% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 50%46% | 46% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43%44% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38%41% | 41% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 35%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 29%27% · Elo 27% | 27%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Lanus win | 21%19% · Elo 18% | 19%· Elo 18% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Boca Juniors attack vs Lanus defenceattack1609defence1507+102 pts to the attack
Lanus attack vs Boca Juniors defenceattack1530defence1619−89 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Lanus score only 0.7 goals per game
- Lanus: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Boca Juniors: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Lanus: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 19:13 | 21 |
| 5 | Lanus | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:9 | 20 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Boca Juniors vs Lanus?
Boca Juniors 1-0 Lanus (half time 0-0).
Did the Boca Juniors vs Lanus tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.