Primera LPFMatchday 11

Estudiantes L.P. 3-0 Gimnasia Mendoza: prediction, tips and result

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Estudiantes L.P.
0-20-00-12-11-2
3-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Gimnasia Mendoza
0-00-22-23-03-2
Stadium:
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata
Referee:
Yael Falcon Perez

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: NoWon56%

at least one side without a goal in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (54% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Yellow Cards: Over 4.5Lost55%

    referee Yael Falcon Perez averages 5.4 yellow cards a match, league average 4.8

  • Offsides – Gimnasia Mendoza: Under 1.5Won66%

    Gimnasia Mendoza: 0.7 offsides a match, Estudiantes L.P.'s opponents were caught offside 1.3 times on average, league average 1.7; under 1.5 offsides in 9 of their last 10 league matches, Estudiantes L.P.'s opponents were caught offside under 1.5 times in 6 of 10 (56% of league matches)

  • Shots on Target: Over 7.5Won60%

    over 7.5 shots on target in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (51% of league matches); 9.2 shots on target a match in the hosts' matches, 8.8 in the visitors', league average 7.9

  • Fouls – Gimnasia Mendoza: Over 11.5Won61%

    our numbers for Gimnasia Mendoza: 12.8 fouls against a league average of 11.8; Estudiantes L.P.'s opponents committed over 11.5 in 8 of 10 (51% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost14%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloEstudiantes L.P.170658%51%Draw26%28%Gimnasia Mendoza160917%21%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS44%45%O2.543%42%|exp. goals 1.5 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Gimnasia Mendoza1:2Estudiantes L.P.W
Estudiantes L.P.'s record: 1 win, 0 draws, 0 losses3.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners8.5league 8.7under 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 8.5 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 9
Yellow cardsleague yellows5.0league 4.8over 4.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 5.0 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.lost · ended 4
RefereeY. Falcon Perez+0.6 yellow cards vs average24 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)70%11:1coverageleague 56% · H2H 1/1covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 0.8total 2.4Attack/defence1.5 : 0.9total 2.3
Estudiantes L.P. : Gimnasia Mendoza
Most likely scores
Market1-014%1-112%2-012%0-010%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-014%1-113%2-011%0-010%2-19%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-014%1-014%1-11-112%1-113%2-02-012%2-011%0-00-010%0-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat84%79%79%
Under 3.5 goals78%79%79%
12 – no draw75%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals70%68%68%
1 – Estudiantes L.P. win58%52% · Elo 51%52%· Elo 51%
Under 2.5 goals57%58%58%
Our tip: Both teams to score: no56%55%55%
Both teams to score: yes44%45%45%
X2 – away team avoid defeat43%49%49%
Over 2.5 goals43%42%42%
Under 1.5 goals30%32%32%
X – draw26%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals22%21%21%
2 – Gimnasia Mendoza win17%21% · Elo 21%21%· Elo 21%
Attack vs defence
Estudiantes L.P. attack vs Gimnasia Mendoza defenceattack1540defence1472+68 pts to the attack
Gimnasia Mendoza attack vs Estudiantes L.P. defenceattack1463defence1537−74 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 60%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 40%over
We expect 8.5 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.573%62%
7.560%51%
8.547%40%
9.535%30%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Estudiantes L.P.we expect 5.4, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 61%
Gimnasia Mendozawe expect 3.6, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 47%
Foulsleague average
Over 22.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 24.0 in this match, 22.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
21.565%56%
22.558%51%
23.551%46%
24.545%38%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Estudiantes L.P.we expect 10.7, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 49%
Gimnasia Mendozawe expect 12.8, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 61%
Referee: 24.7 fouls per match on average (26 matches in our data)+1.1 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 4.0 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.575%65%
3.556%41%
4.537%26%
5.521%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Estudiantes L.P.we expect 2.9, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 76%
Gimnasia Mendozawe expect 1.2, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 34%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Gimnasia Mendoza: 17 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Estudiantes L.P.: only 10 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Gimnasia Mendoza: newly promoted
  • Estudiantes L.P.: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Gimnasia Mendoza: 16 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Estudiantes L.P.

Gimnasia Mendoza

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Gimnasia Mendoza1262415:1220
9Estudiantes L.P.1242615:1314
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Estudiantes L.P. 3-0 Gimnasia Mendoza (half time 0-0).

Did the Estudiantes L.P. vs Gimnasia Mendoza tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: No. The tip won.

See also