Primera LPFMatchday 12

Platense 1-1 Argentinos Jrs: prediction, tips and result

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Platense
0-11-11-20-12-2
1-1Full time(half time 0-1)
Argentinos Jrs
2-10-11-10-02-1
Stadium:
Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez, Florida
Referee:
Nicolas Ramirez

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Shots on Target – Argentinos Jrs: Over 3.5Lost57%

Argentinos Jrs: 4.5 shots on target a match, Platense's opponents had 5.1 on average, league average 3.5; over 3.5 shots on target in 6 of their last 10 league matches, Platense's opponents had over 3.5 in 8 of 10 (43% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Offsides – Argentinos Jrs: Over 1.5Won60%

    our numbers for Argentinos Jrs: 2.1 offsides against a league average of 1.6; Argentinos Jrs: over 1.5 offsides in 8 of their last 10 league matches, Platense's opponents were caught offside over 1.5 times in 5 of 10 (44% of league matches)

  • Fouls – Argentinos Jrs: Under 11.5Won57%

    our numbers for Argentinos Jrs: 11.1 fouls against a league average of 11.8

For the brave
Shots on Target – Argentinos Jrs: Over 4.5Lost39%

Argentinos Jrs: over 4.5 shots on target in 4 of their last 10 league matches, Platense's opponents had over 4.5 in 7 of 10 (26% of league matches); 4.5 shots on target a match, Platense's opponents had 5.1 on average, league average 3.5

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPlatense158130%29%Draw32%31%Argentinos Jrs169438%40%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS40%45%O2.531%38%|exp. goals 1.0 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Argentinos Jrs1:0PlatenseL
  2. Platense0:0Argentinos JrsD
  3. Argentinos Jrs1:0PlatenseL
  4. Platense2:1Argentinos JrsW
  5. Argentinos Jrs1:0PlatenseL
Platense's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses1.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 8.8over 8.5: 53%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 8.5 corners.won · ended 12
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.8league 4.8over 4.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 4.8 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 5
RefereeN. Ramirez+0.4 yellow cards vs average21 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)76%O1.50:1coverageleague 72% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 1.1total 2.0Attack/defence1.0 : 1.2total 2.2
Platense : Argentinos Jrs
Most likely scores
Market0-015%1-114%0-114%1-012%0-28%1-2—Attack/defence0-012%1-114%0-113%1-011%0-28%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence0-00-015%0-012%1-11-114%1-114%0-10-114%0-113%1-01-012%1-011%0-20-28%0-28%1-21-2—1-28%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals86%82%82%
X2 – away team avoid defeat70%68%68%
Under 2.5 goals69%62%62%
12 – no draw68%70%70%
1X – home team avoid defeat62%62%62%
Both teams to score: no60%55%55%
Over 1.5 goals59%65%65%
Under 1.5 goals41%35%35%
Both teams to score: yes40%45%45%
2 – Argentinos Jrs win38%38% · Elo 40%38%· Elo 40%
X – draw32%30% · Elo 31%30%· Elo 31%
Over 2.5 goals31%38%38%
1 – Platense win30%32% · Elo 29%32%· Elo 29%
Over 3.5 goals14%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Platense attack vs Argentinos Jrs defenceattack1455defence1592−137 pts to the attack
Argentinos Jrs attack vs Platense defenceattack1559defence1475+84 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 8.3 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.570%63%
7.557%52%
8.544%40%
9.532%31%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Platensewe expect 4.2, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 41%
Argentinos Jrswe expect 4.1, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 57%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 55%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 22.1 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
21.552%56%
22.545%50%
23.538%45%
24.532%37%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Platensewe expect 11.2, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 55%
Argentinos Jrswe expect 11.1, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 43%
Referee: 22.6 fouls per match on average (24 matches in our data)−0.5 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 3.9 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.574%65%
3.554%41%
4.535%26%
5.520%14%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Platensewe expect 1.9, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 56%
Argentinos Jrswe expect 2.1, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 60%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

League form

Platense

Argentinos Jrs

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13PlatenseClausura, Group A1225512:1811
3Argentinos JrsClausura, Group B1264216:1122
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Platense vs Argentinos Jrs?

Platense 1-1 Argentinos Jrs (half time 0-1).

Did the Platense vs Argentinos Jrs tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Shots on Target – Argentinos Jrs: Over 3.5. The tip lost.

See also