Primera LPFMatchday 10

Platense 0-1 Newells Old Boys: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez, Florida
Referee:
Sebastian Nicolas Martinez

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 4.5Won59%

referee Sebastian Nicolas Martinez averages 6.1 cards a match, league average 5.1

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost15%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPlatense158142%43%Draw32%30%Newells Old Boys157626%27%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS40%45%O2.532%39%|exp. goals 1.3 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Newells Old Boys1:1PlatenseD
  2. Newells Old Boys2:0PlatenseL
  3. Platense2:2Newells Old BoysD
  4. Platense1:1Newells Old BoysD
  5. Newells Old Boys1:0PlatenseL
Platense's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.9league 8.7under 9.5: 60%Expected corners: 8.9 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 63% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards5.3league 5.1over 4.5: 59%Expected cards: 5.3 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 7
RefereeS. Nicolas Martinez+0.8 cards vs average19 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 0.8total 1.9Attack/defence1.3 : 0.9total 2.3
Platense : Newells Old Boys
Most likely scores
Market1-015%0-015%1-114%0-111%2-09%2-1—Attack/defence1-014%0-011%1-113%0-19%2-09%2-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-015%1-014%0-00-015%0-011%1-11-114%1-113%0-10-111%0-19%2-02-09%2-09%2-12-1—2-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals86%81%81%
1X – home team avoid defeat74%74%74%
Under 2.5 goals68%61%61%
12 – no draw68%71%71%
Over 1.5 goals60%66%66%
Both teams to score: no60%55%55%
X2 – away team avoid defeat58%54%54%
1 – Platense win42%46% · Elo 43%46%· Elo 43%
Under 1.5 goals40%34%34%
Both teams to score: yes40%45%45%
X – draw32%29% · Elo 30%29%· Elo 30%
Over 2.5 goals32%39%39%
2 – Newells Old Boys win26%26% · Elo 27%26%· Elo 27%
Over 3.5 goals14%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Platense attack vs Newells Old Boys defenceattack1454defence1443+11 pts to the attack
Newells Old Boys attack vs Platense defenceattack1449defence1475−26 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Platense score a lot late on: 6 of 15 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Newells Old Boys score a lot late on: 9 of 20 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Platense: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Newells Old Boys: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Newells Old Boys1245311:917
13Platense1225512:1811
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Platense vs Newells Old Boys?

Platense 0-1 Newells Old Boys (half time 0-1).

Did the Platense vs Newells Old Boys tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 4.5. The tip won.