Primera LPFMatchday 12
Racing Club 0-2 Belgrano: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Estadio Juan Domingo Peron, Buenos Aires
- Referee:
- Yael Falcon Perez
Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Main tip
Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 5.5Won56%
under 5.5 card points in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (59% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total
Other tips
- Fouls – Belgrano: Under 11.5Lost60%
Belgrano: 9.4 fouls a match, Racing Club's opponents committed 11.2 on average, league average 11.8; our numbers for Belgrano: 10.8 fouls against a league average of 11.8
- Shots on Target – Racing Club: Under 4.5Lost57%
Racing Club: 4.3 shots on target a match, Belgrano's opponents had 3.3 on average, league average 4.5
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost14%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%47%O2.540%42%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.0not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Belgrano1:2Racing ClubW
- Belgrano0:1Racing ClubW
- Racing Club4:0BelgranoW
- Belgrano4:4Racing ClubD
- Racing Club0:0BelgranoD
Racing Club's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.8over 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Yellow cardsleague yellows5.0league 4.8over 4.5: 56%Expected yellow cards: 5.0 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 16%.won · ended 5
RefereeY. Falcon Perez+0.6 yellow cards vs average25 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)71%X21:0coverageleague 72% · H2H 3/5covered
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.0total 2.3Attack/defence1.4 : 1.0total 2.4
Racing Club : BelgranoMost likely scores
Market1-114%1-012%0-011%0-19%2-0—2-18%Attack/defence1-113%1-013%0-010%0-19%2-09%2-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-012%1-013%0-00-011%0-010%0-10-19%0-19%2-02-0—2-09%2-12-18%2-19%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 80%78% | 78% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 71%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 70%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68%68% | 68% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60%58% | 58% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 59%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 53%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47%47% | 47% |
| 1 – Racing Club win | 41%46% · Elo 41% | 46%· Elo 41% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40%42% | 42% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32%32% | 32% |
| X – draw | 30%28% · Elo 31% | 28%· Elo 31% |
| 2 – Belgrano win | 29%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Racing Club attack vs Belgrano defenceattack1562defence1538+24 pts to the attack
Belgrano attack vs Racing Club defenceattack1502defence1508−6 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 56%close to the league averageunder 44%over
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.569%63%
7.556%52%
8.543%40%
9.531%31%
Each team on its own
Racing Clubwe expect 4.3, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 43%
Belgranowe expect 3.9, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 54%close to the league averageunderover 46%
We expect 22.3 in this match, 22.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.21.553%56%
22.546%51%
23.539%45%
24.533%37%
Each team on its own
Racing Clubwe expect 10.4, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 47%
Belgranowe expect 10.8, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 40%
Referee: 24.9 fouls per match on average (27 matches in our data)+1.5 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 52%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 3.8 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.572%65%
3.552%41%
4.533%26%
5.518%14%
Each team on its own
Racing Clubwe expect 2.1, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 62%
Belgranowe expect 1.7, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Belgrano: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Belgrano concede only 0.6 goals per game
- Racing Club: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Belgrano score a lot late on: 10 of 24 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Racing Club: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Belgrano: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group B
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Belgrano | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:7 | 22 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13:19 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Racing Club vs Belgrano?
Racing Club 0-2 Belgrano (half time 0-1).
Did the Racing Club vs Belgrano tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 5.5. The tip won.