BundesligaMatchday 9
A. Lustenau vs LASK: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%60%O2.566%58%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.8
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- A. Lustenau1:3LASKL
- LASK2:0A. LustenauL
- LASK1:0A. LustenauL
- A. Lustenau1:1LASKD
- LASK5:0A. LustenauL
A. Lustenau's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.6over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.9over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 2.5total 3.4Attack/defence1.3 : 1.8total 3.0
A. Lustenau : LASKMost likely scores
Market1-18%0-210%1-29%0-39%0-1—1-38%2-1—2-2—Attack/defence1-111%0-28%1-210%0-3—0-18%1-3—2-17%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-111%0-20-210%0-28%1-21-29%1-210%0-30-39%0-3—0-10-1—0-18%1-31-38%1-3—2-12-1—2-17%2-22-2—2-26%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 88%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 84%76% | 76% |
| 2 – LASK win | 72%50% · Elo 54% | 50%· Elo 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66%58% | 58% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56%64% | 64% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%40% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44%36% | 36% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34%42% | 42% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 28%50% | 50% |
| X – draw | 16%24% · Elo 26% | 24%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14%19% | 19% |
| 1 – A. Lustenau win | 12%27% · Elo 20% | 27%· Elo 20% |
Attack vs defence
A. Lustenau attack vs LASK defenceattack1449defence1562−113 pts to the attack
LASK attack vs A. Lustenau defenceattack1642defence1452+190 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.563%53%
8.550%36%
9.538%23%
10.527%19%
Each team on its own
A. Lustenauwe expect 3.7, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 31%
LASKwe expect 5.2, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 74%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 70%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 30%
We expect 18.1 in this match, 20.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.537%54%
20.530%50%
21.524%43%
22.518%37%
Each team on its own
A. Lustenauwe expect 8.5, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 35%
LASKwe expect 9.3, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 34%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 53%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 3.8 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.573%60%
3.553%46%
4.533%25%
5.519%17%
Each team on its own
A. Lustenauwe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
LASKwe expect 2.3, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 66%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- LASK score 2.4 goals per game
- LASK: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- A. Lustenau: newly promoted
- A. Lustenau: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- LASK: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | LASK | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:9 | 16 |
| 9 | A. Lustenau | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win A. Lustenau vs LASK?
LASK are the favourites. Chances: A. Lustenau win 12%, draw 16%, LASK win 72%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in A. Lustenau vs LASK?
Expected goals: 3.4 (A. Lustenau 0.9, LASK 2.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 66%. Most likely score: 0-2.
Will both teams score in A. Lustenau vs LASK?
The chance that both teams score is 55%.
When is A. Lustenau vs LASK?
The Bundesliga match kicks off 17 October 2026, 16:00 (UK time).