BundesligaMatchday 9
SK Rapid vs Hartberg: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 2d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%55%O2.568%55%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.0
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- SK Rapid0:2HartbergL
- Hartberg2:2SK RapidD
- SK Rapid1:1HartbergD
- Hartberg0:1SK RapidW
- Hartberg2:1SK RapidL
SK Rapid's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.6over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.9under 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 44% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.6 : 0.9total 3.5Attack/defence1.8 : 1.0total 2.9
SK Rapid : HartbergMost likely scores
Market1-17%1-0—2-010%2-19%3-09%3-18%0-0—Attack/defence1-111%1-010%2-010%2-110%3-0—3-16%0-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-17%1-111%1-01-0—1-010%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-19%2-110%3-03-09%3-0—3-13-18%3-16%0-00-0—0-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 90%79% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 85%77% | 77% |
| 1 – SK Rapid win | 75%56% · Elo 51% | 56%· Elo 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%55% | 55% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 54%68% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46%32% | 32% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%45% | 45% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 32%45% | 45% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 25%44% | 44% |
| X – draw | 15%23% · Elo 27% | 23%· Elo 27% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13%22% | 22% |
| 2 – Hartberg win | 10%21% · Elo 22% | 21%· Elo 22% |
Attack vs defence
SK Rapid attack vs Hartberg defenceattack1554defence1457+97 pts to the attack
Hartberg attack vs SK Rapid defenceattack1458defence1566−108 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 59%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 41%over
We expect 9.4 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.571%53%
8.559%36%
9.546%23%
10.535%19%
Each team on its own
SK Rapidwe expect 6.5, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 75%
Hartbergwe expect 3.7, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 51%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 62%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 38%
We expect 19.3 in this match, 20.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.546%54%
20.538%50%
21.532%43%
22.525%37%
Each team on its own
SK Rapidwe expect 7.6, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 24%
Hartbergwe expect 11.7, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 60%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 59%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 3.3 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.563%60%
3.541%46%
4.523%25%
5.512%17%
Each team on its own
SK Rapidwe expect 1.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Hartbergwe expect 1.8, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 54%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- SK Rapid5 wins in a row at homeoverall: 3Went on 55%League 50%Model 75%Record 14
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Hartberg concede 2.1 goals per game
- Hartberg matches average only 2.2 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- SK Rapid score 2.7 goals per game
- SK Rapid: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Hartberg matches average 12.7 corners (league 9.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- SK Rapid: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Hartberg: 5 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Rapid | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 23:7 | 21 |
| 5 | Hartberg | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:16 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win SK Rapid vs Hartberg?
SK Rapid are the favourites. Chances: SK Rapid win 75%, draw 15%, Hartberg win 10%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in SK Rapid vs Hartberg?
Expected goals: 3.5 (SK Rapid 2.6, Hartberg 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 68%. Most likely score: 2-0.
Will both teams score in SK Rapid vs Hartberg?
The chance that both teams score is 55%.
When is SK Rapid vs Hartberg?
The Bundesliga match kicks off 16 October 2026, 18:30 (UK time).