BundesligaMatchday 10
Tirol vs Grazer AK: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%55%O2.550%51%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Grazer AK4:0TirolL
- Tirol1:5Grazer AKL
- Tirol2:0Grazer AKW
- Grazer AK1:1TirolD
- Tirol1:1Grazer AKD
Tirol's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.6over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 3.9over 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.4total 2.7Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.7
Tirol : Grazer AKMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-08%2-18%0-18%1-28%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%0-18%1-27%2-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-08%1-010%2-12-18%2-19%0-10-18%0-18%1-21-28%1-27%2-02-0—2-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72%71% | 71% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 65%57% | 57% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 62%69% | 69% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%55% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50%51% | 51% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%45% | 45% |
| 2 – Grazer AK win | 38%31% · Elo 34% | 31%· Elo 34% |
| 1 – Tirol win | 35%43% · Elo 36% | 43%· Elo 36% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 27%26% · Elo 29% | 26%· Elo 29% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
Tirol attack vs Grazer AK defenceattack1450defence1470−20 pts to the attack
Grazer AK attack vs Tirol defenceattack1419defence1433−14 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 8.2 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.557%53%
8.544%36%
9.532%23%
10.522%19%
Each team on its own
Tirolwe expect 4.0, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 38%
Grazer AKwe expect 4.2, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 58%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 49%
We expect 20.7 in this match, 20.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.556%54%
20.549%50%
21.542%43%
22.535%37%
Each team on its own
Tirolwe expect 9.1, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 42%
Grazer AKwe expect 11.7, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 60%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 63%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 37%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.559%60%
3.537%46%
4.520%25%
5.510%17%
Each team on its own
Tirolwe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
Grazer AKwe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 43%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Grazer AK | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:16 | 9 |
| 8 | Tirol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Tirol vs Grazer AK?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Tirol win 35%, draw 27%, Grazer AK win 38%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Tirol vs Grazer AK?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Tirol 1.3, Grazer AK 1.4). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 50%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Tirol vs Grazer AK?
The chance that both teams score is 55%.
When is Tirol vs Grazer AK?
The Bundesliga match kicks off 24 October 2026, 16:00 (UK time).