Pro LeagueMatchday 9
Antwerp vs Charleroi: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%O2.545%51%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Antwerp0:1CharleroiL
- Charleroi2:1AntwerpL
- Antwerp0:2CharleroiL
- Charleroi1:1AntwerpD
- Antwerp1:2CharleroiL
Antwerp's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.2under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.7under 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.3 : 1.2total 2.5Attack/defence1.4 : 1.4total 2.7
Antwerp : CharleroiMost likely scores
Model1-114%1-010%0-110%0-09%2-18%1-2—Attack/defence1-113%1-09%0-19%0-07%2-18%1-28%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-010%1-09%0-10-110%0-19%0-00-09%0-07%2-12-18%2-18%1-21-2—1-28%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 76%71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 65%63% | 63% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 64%64% | 64% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55%49% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45%51% | 51% |
| 1 – Antwerp win | 36%37% · Elo 31% | 37%· Elo 31% |
| 2 – Charleroi win | 35%37% · Elo 41% | 37%· Elo 41% |
| X – draw | 29%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28%24% | 24% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24%29% | 29% |
Attack vs defence
Antwerp attack vs Charleroi defenceattack1484defence1559−75 pts to the attack
Charleroi attack vs Antwerp defenceattack1518defence1475+43 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 60%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 40%over
We expect 9.5 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.572%61%
8.560%50%
9.547%40%
10.536%28%
Each team on its own
Antwerpwe expect 4.4, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 44%
Charleroiwe expect 5.3, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 76%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 52%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 48%
We expect 20.5 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.556%63%
20.548%55%
21.541%47%
22.534%39%
Each team on its own
Antwerpwe expect 11.0, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 53%
Charleroiwe expect 9.4, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 34%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 65%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 35%
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.557%62%
3.535%43%
4.519%28%
5.59%17%
Each team on its own
Antwerpwe expect 1.5, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 44%
Charleroiwe expect 1.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 41%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Charleroi7 wins in a row awayoverall: 3Went on 61%League 33%Model 35%Record 16
- Antwerp5 defeats in a rowat home: 2Went on 49%League 33%Model 35%Record 10
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Antwerp concede 2.0 goals per game
- Antwerp: 5 defeats in a row
- Charleroi: 25 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Antwerp: 13 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Charleroi: 13 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Charleroi | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16:7 | 21 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:20 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Antwerp vs Charleroi?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Antwerp win 36%, draw 29%, Charleroi win 35%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Antwerp vs Charleroi?
Expected goals: 2.5 (Antwerp 1.3, Charleroi 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 45%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Antwerp vs Charleroi?
The Pro League match kicks off 24 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).