Pro LeagueMatchday 8

Standard 0-1 Charleroi: prediction, tips and result

·

Standard
2-02-11-02-41-2
0-1Full time(half time 0-0)
Charleroi
3-21-02-33-12-0
Stadium:
Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Liege
Referee:
Simon Bourdeaud'hui

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Yellow Cards: Under 3.5Won61%

under 3.5 yellow cards in 6 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 7 (51% of league matches); 2.3 yellow cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.3 in the visitors', league average 3.7

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesLost58%

    Standard: scored in each of their last 7 league matches

  • Fouls: Under 20.5Lost64%

    our numbers: 19.0 fouls against a league average of 20.9

  • Shots on Target – Charleroi: Over 3.5Won62%

    Charleroi: over 3.5 shots on target in 7 of their last 7 league matches, Standard's opponents had over 3.5 in 4 of 7 (53% of league matches); 5.3 shots on target a match, Standard's opponents had 4.4 on average, league average 4.0

For the brave
Yellow Cards: Under 2.5Won39%

2.3 yellow cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.3 in the visitors', league average 3.7; referee Simon Bourdeaud'hui averages 3.2 yellow cards a match, league average 3.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloStandard166234%36%Draw27%28%Charleroi172539%36%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%53%O2.554%47%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Standard0:2CharleroiL
  2. Charleroi1:2StandardW
  3. Charleroi2:0StandardL
  4. Standard3:1CharleroiW
  5. Standard0:1CharleroiL
Standard's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.1under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.2league 3.7under 3.5: 61%Expected yellow cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.won · ended 2
RefereeS. Bourdeaud'hui−0.7 yellow cards vs average29 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)70%1X1:2coverageleague 77% · H2H 2/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.5total 2.9Attack/defence1.3 : 1.3total 2.6
Standard : Charleroi
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-18%1-07%1-29%2-18%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-09%1-28%2-18%0-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-18%0-110%1-01-07%1-09%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-18%0-00-0—0-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals78%73%73%
12 – no draw73%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals69%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%64%64%
1X – home team avoid defeat61%63%63%
Both teams to score: yes58%53%53%
Over 2.5 goals54%47%47%
Under 2.5 goals46%53%53%
Both teams to score: no42%47%47%
2 – Charleroi win39%37% · Elo 36%37%· Elo 36%
1 – Standard win34%36% · Elo 36%36%· Elo 36%
Over 3.5 goals31%26%26%
X – draw27%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals22%27%27%
Attack vs defence
Standard attack vs Charleroi defenceattack1446defence1550−104 pts to the attack
Charleroi attack vs Standard defenceattack1522defence1509+13 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 51%close to the league averageunder 49%over
We expect 8.8 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.564%61%
8.551%50%
9.538%39%
10.528%28%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Standardwe expect 4.3, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 43%
Charleroiwe expect 4.4, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 62%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 19.0 in this match, 20.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.544%63%
20.536%55%
21.530%47%
22.524%38%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Standardwe expect 9.0, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 30%
Charleroiwe expect 10.0, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 42%
Referee: 21.4 fouls per match on average (28 matches in our data)−0.4 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.566%62%
3.544%43%
4.526%28%
5.514%17%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Standardwe expect 1.8, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 52%
Charleroiwe expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 47%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Charleroi: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Standard: 23 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Charleroi: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Standard

Charleroi

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Charleroi870116:721
9Standard832313:1311
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Standard vs Charleroi?

Standard 0-1 Charleroi (half time 0-0).

Did the Standard vs Charleroi tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Yellow Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.

See also