Pro LeagueMatchday 7

Charleroi 3-2 Cercle Brugge: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Referee:
Anthony Letellier

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 3.5Won62%

referee Anthony Letellier averages 2.4 cards a match, league average 3.9; 2.3 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.8 in the visitors', league average 3.9

For the brave
Cards: Under 2.5Lost40%

referee Anthony Letellier averages 2.4 cards a match, league average 3.9; 2.3 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 2.8 in the visitors', league average 3.9

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCharleroi172559%54%Draw23%25%Cercle Brugge159019%21%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%58%O2.557%56%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Charleroi3:4Cercle BruggeL
  2. Cercle Brugge2:3CharleroiW
  3. Charleroi1:1Cercle BruggeD
  4. Cercle Brugge2:0CharleroiL
  5. Charleroi0:0Cercle BruggeD
Charleroi's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.2over 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 10.5 corners.lost · ended 5
Cardsleague cards3.1league 3.9under 3.5: 62%Expected cards: 3.1 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.won · ended 3
RefereeA. Letellier−1.8 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.0total 3.0Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.9
Charleroi : Cercle Brugge
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%2-010%1-09%1-2—0-1—3-16%Attack/defence1-112%2-110%2-08%1-09%1-27%0-16%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-010%2-08%1-01-09%1-09%1-21-2—1-27%0-10-1—0-16%3-13-16%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat82%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals81%79%79%
12 – no draw78%76%76%
Under 3.5 goals65%67%67%
1 – Charleroi win59%49% · Elo 54%49%· Elo 54%
Over 2.5 goals57%56%56%
Both teams to score: yes56%58%58%
Both teams to score: no44%42%42%
Under 2.5 goals43%44%44%
X2 – away team avoid defeat42%51%51%
Over 3.5 goals35%33%33%
X – draw23%25% · Elo 25%25%· Elo 25%
2 – Cercle Brugge win19%27% · Elo 21%27%· Elo 21%
Under 1.5 goals19%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Charleroi attack vs Cercle Brugge defenceattack1516defence1462+54 pts to the attack
Cercle Brugge attack vs Charleroi defenceattack1531defence1554−23 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Cercle Brugge concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Cercle Brugge matches average 12.5 corners (league 10.2) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Cercle Brugge: no win in 8 matches
  • Charleroi: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Cercle Brugge: only 9 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 15 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Charleroi: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Cercle Brugge: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Charleroi870116:721
18Cercle Brugge80359:163
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge?

Charleroi 3-2 Cercle Brugge (half time 2-1).

Did the Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 3.5. The tip won.