Pro LeagueMatchday 6

Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1-1 Cercle Brugge: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee
Referee:
Bram Van Driessche

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost60%

over 2.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 5 (52% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloOud-Heverlee Leuven156838%37%Draw26%28%Cercle Brugge159036%35%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%59%O2.560%55%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.5both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Oud-Heverlee Leuven0:2Cercle BruggeL
  2. Cercle Brugge1:2Oud-Heverlee LeuvenW
  3. Cercle Brugge1:0Oud-Heverlee LeuvenL
  4. Oud-Heverlee Leuven1:1Cercle BruggeD
  5. Oud-Heverlee Leuven1:2Cercle BruggeL
Oud-Heverlee Leuven's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.9league 10.1over 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.9 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 13
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.9under 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.lost · ended 5
RefereeB. Van Driessche−0.3 cards vs average28 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.5total 3.1Attack/defence1.4 : 1.5total 2.9
Oud-Heverlee Leuven : Cercle Brugge
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-28%0-1—1-06%2-27%Attack/defence1-112%2-18%1-29%0-18%1-08%2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-18%1-21-28%1-29%0-10-1—0-18%1-01-06%1-08%2-22-27%2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%78%78%
12 – no draw74%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%62%62%
Both teams to score: yes63%59%59%
X2 – away team avoid defeat62%64%64%
Under 3.5 goals62%68%68%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals60%55%55%
Under 2.5 goals40%45%45%
1 – Oud-Heverlee Leuven win38%36% · Elo 37%36%· Elo 37%
Over 3.5 goals38%32%32%
Both teams to score: no37%42%42%
2 – Cercle Brugge win36%38% · Elo 35%38%· Elo 35%
X – draw26%26% · Elo 28%26%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals17%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Oud-Heverlee Leuven attack vs Cercle Brugge defenceattack1411defence1460−49 pts to the attack
Cercle Brugge attack vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven defenceattack1530defence1452+78 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Oud-Heverlee Leuven concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Cercle Brugge matches average only 2.4 cards (league 3.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Oud-Heverlee Leuven matches average only 2.6 cards (league 3.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Cercle Brugge: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Cercle Brugge matches average 12.6 corners (league 10.1) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Oud-Heverlee Leuven: 6 defeats in a row
  • Oud-Heverlee Leuven: 6 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Cercle Brugge: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
15Oud-Heverlee Leuven81256:145
18Cercle Brugge80359:163
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Cercle Brugge?

Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1-1 Cercle Brugge (half time 1-0).

Did the Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs Cercle Brugge tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.