Pro LeagueMatchday 8

Cercle Brugge 1-2 Anderlecht: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Jan Breydel Stadium, Bruges
Referee:
Kevin Van Damme

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – Anderlecht (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won64%

Anderlecht: under 2.5 card points in 6 of their last 7 league matches, Cercle Brugge's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 5 of 7 (63% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Shots on Target – Cercle Brugge: Under 4.5Lost58%

    Cercle Brugge: 3.1 shots on target a match, Anderlecht's opponents had 2.9 on average, league average 4.8; under 4.5 shots on target in 6 of their last 7 league matches, Anderlecht's opponents had under 4.5 in 6 of 7 (49% of league matches)

  • Offsides – Anderlecht: Under 1.5Won66%

    Anderlecht: under 1.5 offsides in 5 of their last 7 league matches, Cercle Brugge's opponents were caught offside under 1.5 times in 7 of 7 (57% of league matches); 1.3 offsides a match, Cercle Brugge's opponents were caught offside 0.6 times on average, league average 1.7

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCercle Brugge159026%25%Draw24%27%Anderlecht176950%49%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%60%O2.562%56%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Anderlecht2:3Cercle BruggeW
  2. Cercle Brugge0:2AnderlechtL
  3. Anderlecht3:0Cercle BruggeL
  4. Cercle Brugge0:5AnderlechtL
  5. Cercle Brugge1:1AnderlechtD
Cercle Brugge's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.2under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 10
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.7under 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.won · ended 3
RefereeK. Van Damme+0.3 yellow cards vs average19 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.9total 3.2Attack/defence1.5 : 1.4total 2.9
Cercle Brugge : Anderlecht
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-17%1-0—0-17%0-27%2-2—Attack/defence1-112%1-28%2-19%1-08%0-17%0-2—2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-17%2-19%1-01-0—1-08%0-10-17%0-17%0-20-27%0-2—2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals84%79%79%
12 – no draw76%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat74%61%61%
Both teams to score: yes63%60%60%
Over 2.5 goals62%56%56%
Under 3.5 goals60%66%66%
2 – Anderlecht win50%36% · Elo 49%36%· Elo 49%
1X – home team avoid defeat50%64%64%
Over 3.5 goals40%34%34%
Under 2.5 goals38%44%44%
Both teams to score: no37%40%40%
1 – Cercle Brugge win26%39% · Elo 25%39%· Elo 25%
X – draw24%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals16%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Cercle Brugge attack vs Anderlecht defenceattack1535defence1547−12 pts to the attack
Anderlecht attack vs Cercle Brugge defenceattack1527defence1456+71 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 8.9 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.566%61%
8.553%50%
9.540%40%
10.529%28%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Cercle Bruggewe expect 4.3, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 42%
Anderlechtwe expect 4.6, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 66%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 20.9 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.551%56%
21.544%48%
22.537%39%
23.530%32%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Cercle Bruggewe expect 11.1, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 54%
Anderlechtwe expect 11.2, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 55%
Referee: 19.0 fouls per match on average (19 matches in our data)−2.5 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.567%62%
3.545%42%
4.527%28%
5.514%17%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Cercle Bruggewe expect 2.3, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 65%
Anderlechtwe expect 1.2, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 34%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Cercle Brugge concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Cercle Brugge matches average only 2.6 cards (league 3.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Cercle Brugge: no win in 9 matches
  • Cercle Brugge: only 6 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Cercle Brugge: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Anderlecht: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Anderlecht85129:616
18Cercle Brugge80359:163
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht?

Cercle Brugge 1-2 Anderlecht (half time 1-0).

Did the Cercle Brugge vs Anderlecht tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – Anderlecht (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5. The tip won.