Pro LeagueMatchday 9
Club Brugge vs St Truiden: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%O2.570%67%|exp. goals 2.4 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Club Brugge2:0St TruidenW
- St Truiden1:2Club BruggeW
- St Truiden3:2Club BruggeL
- Club Brugge2:0St TruidenW
- St Truiden2:2Club BruggeD
Club Brugge's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.2under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.7under 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model2.6 : 1.0total 3.6Attack/defence2.4 : 1.1total 3.5
Club Brugge : St TruidenMost likely scores
Model2-19%2-09%1-18%3-18%3-08%1-0—Attack/defence2-110%2-09%1-18%3-18%3-07%1-07%
ModelAttack/defence2-12-19%2-110%2-02-09%2-09%1-11-18%1-18%3-13-18%3-18%3-03-08%3-07%1-01-0—1-07%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 88%84% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%86% | 86% |
| 12 – no draw | 83%81% | 81% |
| 1 – Club Brugge win | 71%64% · Elo 73% | 64%· Elo 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70%67% | 67% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52%54% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48%46% | 46% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31%33% | 33% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 30%36% | 36% |
| X – draw | 17%19% · Elo 17% | 19%· Elo 17% |
| 2 – St Truiden win | 12%17% · Elo 10% | 17%· Elo 10% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12%14% | 14% |
Attack vs defence
Club Brugge attack vs St Truiden defenceattack1733defence1507+226 pts to the attack
St Truiden attack vs Club Brugge defenceattack1555defence1621−66 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 56%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 44%over
We expect 9.2 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.568%61%
8.556%50%
9.543%40%
10.532%28%
Each team on its own
Club Bruggewe expect 6.1, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 71%
St Truidenwe expect 3.4, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 45%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 70%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 30%
We expect 18.1 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.537%63%
20.530%55%
21.524%47%
22.518%39%
Each team on its own
Club Bruggewe expect 7.8, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 18%
St Truidenwe expect 10.0, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 42%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.558%62%
3.536%43%
4.520%28%
5.59%17%
Each team on its own
Club Bruggewe expect 1.7, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 50%
St Truidenwe expect 1.3, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Club Brugge10 wins in a row at homeoverall: 4Went on 68%League 49%Model 71%Record 16
- Club Brugge14 matches unbeaten at homeoverall: 4Went on 82%League 67%Model 88%Record 31
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Club Brugge score 2.6 goals per game
- Club Brugge: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Club Brugge concede only 0.6 goals per game
- Club Brugge: 4 wins in a row
- Club Brugge: 15 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- St Truiden: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Brugge | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19:4 | 21 |
| 12 | St Truiden | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 15:16 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Club Brugge vs St Truiden?
Club Brugge are the favourites. Chances: Club Brugge win 71%, draw 17%, St Truiden win 12%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Club Brugge vs St Truiden?
Expected goals: 3.6 (Club Brugge 2.6, St Truiden 1.0). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 70%. Most likely score: 2-1.
When is Club Brugge vs St Truiden?
The Pro League match kicks off 25 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).