Pro LeagueMatchday 9
Genk vs Standard: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%O2.544%52%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Standard0:0GenkD
- Genk1:1StandardD
- Genk0:3StandardL
- Standard2:1GenkL
- Standard1:2GenkW
Genk's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.2under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.7under 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.6 : 0.9total 2.5Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.7
Genk : StandardMost likely scores
Model1-013%1-113%2-011%2-19%0-09%0-1—Attack/defence1-011%1-112%2-09%2-110%0-07%0-16%
ModelAttack/defence1-01-013%1-011%1-11-113%1-112%2-02-011%2-09%2-12-19%2-110%0-00-09%0-07%0-10-1—0-16%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 79%77% | 77% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 77%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71%76% | 76% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56%48% | 48% |
| 1 – Genk win | 52%52% · Elo 54% | 52%· Elo 54% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 48%48% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44%52% | 52% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 29%24% | 24% |
| X – draw | 27%25% · Elo 25% | 25%· Elo 25% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23%29% | 29% |
| 2 – Standard win | 21%23% · Elo 21% | 23%· Elo 21% |
Attack vs defence
Genk attack vs Standard defenceattack1559defence1513+46 pts to the attack
Standard attack vs Genk defenceattack1438defence1540−102 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 9.0 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.566%61%
8.553%50%
9.541%40%
10.530%28%
Each team on its own
Genkwe expect 5.3, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 59%
Standardwe expect 3.8, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 53%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 19.5 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.547%63%
20.540%55%
21.533%47%
22.527%39%
Each team on its own
Genkwe expect 9.8, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 39%
Standardwe expect 9.4, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 35%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.568%62%
3.547%43%
4.528%28%
5.515%17%
Each team on its own
Genkwe expect 1.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 55%
Standardwe expect 1.7, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 49%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Genk concede a lot late on: 11 of 24 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Genk: 15 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Standard: 14 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Genk | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 12 |
| 9 | Standard | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Genk vs Standard?
Genk are the favourites. Chances: Genk win 52%, draw 27%, Standard win 21%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Genk vs Standard?
Expected goals: 2.5 (Genk 1.6, Standard 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 44%. Most likely score: 1-0.
When is Genk vs Standard?
The Pro League match kicks off 25 October 2026, 12:30 (UK time).