Pro LeagueMatchday 8

St. Gilloise 1-1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven: prediction, tips and result

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St. Gilloise
3-03-03-25-02-0
1-1Full time(half time 0-1)
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
2-01-10-30-11-2
Stadium:
Stade Joseph Marien, Saint-Gilles
Referee:
Nathan Verboomen

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Match Result: St. GilloiseLost76%

St. Gilloise: won 6 of their last 7 league matches; 5 league wins in a row

Other tips

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost64%

    our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

  • Offsides – St. Gilloise: Over 2.5Lost61%

    our numbers for St. Gilloise: 3.3 offsides against a league average of 1.8; St. Gilloise: 2.9 offsides a match, Oud-Heverlee Leuven's opponents were caught offside 3.3 times on average, league average 1.8

  • Shots on Target – Oud-Heverlee Leuven: Under 3.5Won64%

    Oud-Heverlee Leuven: 2.7 shots on target a match, St. Gilloise's opponents had 2.4 on average, league average 4.0; our numbers for Oud-Heverlee Leuven: 3.0 shots on target against a league average of 4.0

For the brave
Correct Score: 3:0Lost10%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSt. Gilloise195778%82%Draw14%12%Oud-Heverlee Leuven15688%7%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS47%45%O2.564%54%|exp. goals 2.1 : 0.7both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Oud-Heverlee Leuven0:0St. GilloiseD
  2. St. Gilloise5:0Oud-Heverlee LeuvenW
  3. St. Gilloise1:0Oud-Heverlee LeuvenW
  4. Oud-Heverlee Leuven1:1St. GilloiseD
  5. Oud-Heverlee Leuven0:2St. GilloiseW
St. Gilloise's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.1under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.7under 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 22%.won · ended 3
RefereeN. Verboomen+0.2 yellow cards vs average27 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)65%U3.53:1coverageleague 74% · H2H 4/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.6 : 0.7total 3.3Attack/defence2.1 : 0.7total 2.8
St. Gilloise : Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Most likely scores
Market2-012%1-09%3-011%2-19%1-1—3-18%Attack/defence2-013%1-012%3-09%2-110%1-19%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-012%2-013%1-01-09%1-012%3-03-011%3-09%2-12-19%2-110%1-11-1—1-19%3-13-18%3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat92%89%89%
12 – no draw86%80%80%
Over 1.5 goals85%77%77%
Our tip: 1 – St. Gilloise win78%69% · Elo 82%69%· Elo 82%
Over 2.5 goals64%54%54%
Under 3.5 goals58%69%69%
Both teams to score: no53%55%55%
Both teams to score: yes47%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals42%31%31%
Under 2.5 goals36%47%47%
X2 – away team avoid defeat22%31%31%
Under 1.5 goals15%23%23%
X – draw14%20% · Elo 12%20%· Elo 12%
2 – Oud-Heverlee Leuven win8%11% · Elo 7%11%· Elo 7%
Attack vs defence
St. Gilloise attack vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven defenceattack1629defence1461+168 pts to the attack
Oud-Heverlee Leuven attack vs St. Gilloise defenceattack1409defence1716−307 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 8.9 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.565%61%
8.553%50%
9.540%39%
10.529%28%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
St. Gilloisewe expect 6.2, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 71%
Oud-Heverlee Leuvenwe expect 3.0, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 36%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 56%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 44%
We expect 20.0 in this match, 20.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.551%63%
20.544%55%
21.537%47%
22.530%38%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
St. Gilloisewe expect 9.7, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 39%
Oud-Heverlee Leuvenwe expect 10.4, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 46%
Referee: 21.8 fouls per match on average (27 matches in our data)−0.4 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 4.3 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.579%62%
3.561%43%
4.542%28%
5.526%17%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
St. Gilloisewe expect 3.3, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 81%
Oud-Heverlee Leuvenwe expect 1.2, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 34%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • St. Gilloise score 2.6 goals per game
  • St. Gilloise: 5 wins in a row
  • St. Gilloise: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Oud-Heverlee Leuven: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

St. Gilloise

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4St. Gilloise862022:420
15Oud-Heverlee Leuven81256:145
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of St. Gilloise vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven?

St. Gilloise 1-1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven (half time 0-1).

Did the St. Gilloise vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: St. Gilloise. The tip lost.

See also