Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 25

Bahia 3-2 Internacional: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador
Referee:
Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva

The match in numbers

1X2EloBahia171453%50%Draw26%27%Internacional165321%23%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%51%O2.551%49%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Internacional0:1BahiaW
  2. Internacional2:2BahiaD
  3. Bahia1:0InternacionalW
  4. Internacional2:1BahiaL
  5. Bahia1:1InternacionalD
Bahia's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.1under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6
Cardsleague cards5.0league 4.9over 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.won · ended 6
RefereeP. Cesar Zanovelli da Silva+0.3 cards vs average11 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 1.0total 2.7Attack/defence1.6 : 1.0total 2.6
Bahia : Internacional
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-010%2-110%2-010%0-08%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-012%2-110%2-010%0-08%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-010%1-012%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-010%2-010%0-00-08%0-08%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat79%78%78%
Over 1.5 goals76%74%74%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals71%73%73%
1 – Bahia win53%52% · Elo 50%52%· Elo 50%
Both teams to score: yes53%51%51%
Over 2.5 goals51%49%49%
Under 2.5 goals49%51%51%
X2 – away team avoid defeat47%48%48%
Both teams to score: no47%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals29%27%27%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals24%26%26%
2 – Internacional win21%23% · Elo 23%23%· Elo 23%
Attack vs defence
Bahia attack vs Internacional defenceattack1528defence1497+31 pts to the attack
Internacional attack vs Bahia defenceattack1464defence1509−45 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Bahia: unbeaten in 8 matches
  • Internacional: no win in 8 matches
  • Internacional: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Bahia: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Internacional: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Bahia301310744:3649
17Internacional307111233:3832
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Bahia vs Internacional?

Bahia 3-2 Internacional (half time 3-1).