Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 24

Vitoria 0-2 Bahia: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Manoel Barradas, Salvador (attendance: 30,370)
Referee:
Raphael Claus

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won57%

under 2.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (51% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost14%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloVitoria163334%41%Draw30%29%Bahia171435%31%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%50%O2.543%44%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Bahia1:1VitoriaD
  2. Vitoria2:1BahiaW
  3. Bahia2:1VitoriaL
  4. Bahia2:0VitoriaL
  5. Vitoria2:2BahiaD
Vitoria's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.0over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 14
Cardsleague cards4.5league 5.0under 4.5: 54%Expected cards: 4.5 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.lost · ended 5
RefereeR. Claus−1.2 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.2total 2.4Attack/defence1.3 : 1.2total 2.5
Vitoria : Bahia
Most likely scores
Market1-114%1-010%0-010%0-110%2-1—1-28%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-09%0-110%2-18%1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-010%1-011%0-00-010%0-09%0-10-110%0-110%2-12-1—2-18%1-21-28%1-28%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals78%77%77%
Over 1.5 goals70%70%70%
12 – no draw69%72%72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat65%61%61%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%67%67%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals57%56%56%
Both teams to score: yes50%50%50%
Both teams to score: no50%50%50%
Over 2.5 goals43%44%44%
2 – Bahia win35%33% · Elo 31%33%· Elo 31%
1 – Vitoria win34%39% · Elo 41%39%· Elo 41%
X – draw30%28% · Elo 29%28%· Elo 29%
Under 1.5 goals30%30%30%
Over 3.5 goals22%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Vitoria attack vs Bahia defenceattack1416defence1498−82 pts to the attack
Bahia attack vs Vitoria defenceattack1517defence1466+51 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Vitoria score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Vitoria: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Bahia: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Bahia301310744:3649
12Vitoria301061433:4436
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Vitoria vs Bahia?

Vitoria 0-2 Bahia (half time 0-0).

Did the Vitoria vs Bahia tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.