Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 24

Botafogo RJ 2-3 Athletico-PR: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Referee:
Andre Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 4.5Lost57%

over 4.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches)

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBotafogo RJ169839%46%Draw29%28%Athletico-PR173232%26%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%51%O2.549%50%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Athletico-PR4:1Botafogo RJL
  2. Athletico-PR0:1Botafogo RJW
  3. Botafogo RJ1:1Athletico-PRD
  4. Botafogo RJ1:1Athletico-PRD
  5. Athletico-PR1:0Botafogo RJL
Botafogo RJ's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.1under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 15
Cardsleague cards5.1league 4.9over 4.5: 57%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 4.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.lost · ended 3
RefereeA. Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento+1.9 cards vs average2 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.2total 2.6Attack/defence1.7 : 1.0total 2.7
Botafogo RJ : Athletico-PR
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-09%2-0—2-19%0-08%0-18%Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-010%2-110%0-07%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-01-09%1-011%2-02-0—2-010%2-12-19%2-110%0-00-08%0-07%0-10-18%0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals75%74%74%
Under 3.5 goals73%72%72%
12 – no draw71%75%75%
1X – home team avoid defeat68%79%79%
X2 – away team avoid defeat61%47%47%
Both teams to score: yes54%51%51%
Under 2.5 goals51%50%50%
Over 2.5 goals49%50%50%
Both teams to score: no46%49%49%
1 – Botafogo RJ win39%54% · Elo 46%54%· Elo 46%
2 – Athletico-PR win32%22% · Elo 26%22%· Elo 26%
X – draw29%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals27%28%28%
Under 1.5 goals25%26%26%
Attack vs defence
Botafogo RJ attack vs Athletico-PR defenceattack1571defence1510+61 pts to the attack
Athletico-PR attack vs Botafogo RJ defenceattack1470defence1510−40 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Athletico-PR: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Athletico-PR concede only 0.5 goals per game
  • Athletico-PR: unbeaten in 8 matches
  • Athletico-PR: 19 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Athletico-PR: newly promoted
  • Botafogo RJ: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Athletico-PR: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Athletico-PR30158749:3553
13Botafogo RJ30991243:4836
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Botafogo RJ vs Athletico-PR?

Botafogo RJ 2-3 Athletico-PR (half time 0-2).

Did the Botafogo RJ vs Athletico-PR tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 4.5. The tip lost.