Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 22

Santos 0-2 Athletico-PR: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Urbano Caldeira, Santos (attendance: 7,026)
Referee:
Rafael Rodrigo Klein

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won67%

referee Rafael Rodrigo Klein averages 4.0 cards a match, league average 5.0; our numbers: 4.7 cards against a league average of 5.0

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:1Lost13%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSantos172646%43%Draw29%28%Athletico-PR173225%28%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS50%51%O2.544%46%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Athletico-PR2:1SantosL
  2. Athletico-PR3:0SantosL
  3. Santos1:1Athletico-PRD
  4. Santos2:0Athletico-PRW
  5. Athletico-PR2:2SantosD
Santos's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.0under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards4.7league 5.0under 5.5: 67%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 30%.won · ended 2
RefereeR. Rodrigo Klein−1.4 cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.0total 2.4Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Santos : Athletico-PR
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-011%0-010%2-19%2-09%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-09%2-19%2-09%0-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-011%1-011%0-00-010%0-09%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-09%2-09%0-10-1—0-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals77%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat75%73%73%
12 – no draw71%73%73%
Over 1.5 goals71%71%71%
Under 2.5 goals56%54%54%
X2 – away team avoid defeat54%55%55%
Both teams to score: yes50%51%51%
Both teams to score: no50%50%50%
1 – Santos win46%45% · Elo 43%45%· Elo 43%
Over 2.5 goals44%46%46%
X – draw29%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals29%29%29%
2 – Athletico-PR win25%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals23%24%24%
Attack vs defence
Santos attack vs Athletico-PR defenceattack1495defence1508−13 pts to the attack
Athletico-PR attack vs Santos defenceattack1466defence1448+18 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Athletico-PR concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Athletico-PR: newly promoted
  • Santos: 15 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Athletico-PR: 10 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Athletico-PR30158749:3553
8Santos301191046:4542
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Santos vs Athletico-PR?

Santos 0-2 Athletico-PR (half time 0-2).

Did the Santos vs Athletico-PR tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.