Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 23
Athletico-PR 1-1 Bragantino: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Arena da Baixada, Curitiba
- Referee:
- Alex Gomes Stefano
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won57%
Athletico-PR: clean sheets in each of their last 3 league matches; under 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
For the brave
Total Goals: Under 1.5Lost30%
Athletico-PR: clean sheets in each of their last 3 league matches
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%48%O2.543%43%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Bragantino1:1Athletico-PRD
- Athletico-PR1:2BragantinoL
- Bragantino1:0Athletico-PRL
- Athletico-PR1:1BragantinoD
- Bragantino2:0Athletico-PRL
Athletico-PR's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.9league 10.0over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 9.9 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 13
Cardsleague cards4.7league 5.0under 4.5: 50%Expected cards: 4.7 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 25%.won · ended 1
RefereeA. Gomes Stefano−1.0 cards vs average8 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.0total 2.4Attack/defence1.4 : 1.0total 2.4
Athletico-PR : BragantinoMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-012%0-010%2-09%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-012%0-010%2-09%2-19%0-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-012%1-012%0-00-010%0-010%2-02-09%2-09%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 78%78% | 78% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 76%73% | 73% |
| 12 – no draw | 71%72% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%69% | 69% |
| Our tip: Under 2.5 goals | 57%57% | 57% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 53%55% | 55% |
| Both teams to score: no | 52%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48%48% | 48% |
| 1 – Athletico-PR win | 47%45% · Elo 50% | 45%· Elo 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43%43% | 43% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30%31% | 31% |
| X – draw | 29%28% · Elo 27% | 28%· Elo 27% |
| 2 – Bragantino win | 24%27% · Elo 23% | 27%· Elo 23% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Athletico-PR attack vs Bragantino defenceattack1468defence1507−39 pts to the attack
Bragantino attack vs Athletico-PR defenceattack1498defence1511−13 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Athletico-PR concede only 0.5 goals per game
- Athletico-PR: 21 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Athletico-PR: newly promoted
- Athletico-PR: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Bragantino: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 49:35 | 53 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 38:35 | 40 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Athletico-PR vs Bragantino?
Athletico-PR 1-1 Bragantino (half time 0-0).
Did the Athletico-PR vs Bragantino tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.