Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 20

Flamengo RJ 1-1 Sao Paulo: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Maracana Stadium, Rio de Janeiro (attendance: 70,791)
Referee:
Anderson Daronco

Our tips

Main tip
Match Result: Flamengo RJLost66%

Flamengo RJ: won 7 of their last 10 league matches; Sao Paulo: winless in their last 6 league matches

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:0Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloFlamengo RJ194266%70%Draw21%19%Sao Paulo169214%12%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%51%O2.553%55%|exp. goals 2.0 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sao Paulo2:1Flamengo RJL
  2. Sao Paulo2:2Flamengo RJD
  3. Flamengo RJ2:0Sao PauloW
  4. Sao Paulo1:0Flamengo RJL
  5. Flamengo RJ2:1Sao PauloW
Flamengo RJ's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.1under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.9league 5.1under 5.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 27%.won · ended 4
RefereeA. Daronco−0.3 cards vs average10 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 0.8total 2.8Attack/defence2.0 : 0.9total 2.9
Flamengo RJ : Sao Paulo
Most likely scores
Market2-012%1-012%1-110%2-110%3-08%3-1—Attack/defence2-011%1-011%1-110%2-110%3-08%3-17%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-012%2-011%1-01-012%1-011%1-11-110%1-110%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-08%3-08%3-13-1—3-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat87%85%85%
12 – no draw80%79%79%
Over 1.5 goals77%79%79%
Under 3.5 goals70%67%67%
Our tip: 1 – Flamengo RJ win66%64% · Elo 70%64%· Elo 70%
Over 2.5 goals53%55%55%
Both teams to score: no52%49%49%
Both teams to score: yes48%51%51%
Under 2.5 goals47%45%45%
X2 – away team avoid defeat35%36%36%
Over 3.5 goals30%33%33%
Under 1.5 goals23%21%21%
X – draw21%21% · Elo 19%21%· Elo 19%
2 – Sao Paulo win14%15% · Elo 12%15%· Elo 12%
Attack vs defence
Flamengo RJ attack vs Sao Paulo defenceattack1677defence1516+161 pts to the attack
Sao Paulo attack vs Flamengo RJ defenceattack1490defence1599−109 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sao Paulo: only 8 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Flamengo RJ: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Sao Paulo: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Flamengo RJ30197458:2564
10Sao Paulo301161335:3539
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Flamengo RJ vs Sao Paulo?

Flamengo RJ 1-1 Sao Paulo (half time 0-0).

Did the Flamengo RJ vs Sao Paulo tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Flamengo RJ. The tip lost.