Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 21

Mirassol 2-1 Remo: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Jose Maria de Campos Maia Municipal Stadium, Mirassol
Referee:
Lucas Paulo Torezin

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 5.5Won63%

4.6 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.4 in the visitors', league average 5.1; under 5.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (56% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 4.5Won46%

under 4.5 cards in 5 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 10 (44% of league matches); 4.6 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.4 in the visitors', league average 5.1

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMirassol171956%56%Draw25%25%Remo160618%19%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%50%O2.548%50%|exp. goals 1.8 : 0.9both scored
H2Hlast meeting
  1. Remo2:2MirassolD
Mirassol's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses4.0 goals per match
too few to read anything into
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.1under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.9league 5.1under 5.5: 63%Expected cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 30%.won · ended 4
RefereeL. Paulo Torezin+0.3 cards vs average3 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.7 : 0.9total 2.6Attack/defence1.8 : 0.9total 2.7
Mirassol : Remo
Most likely scores
Market1-012%1-112%2-011%2-110%0-08%3-0—Attack/defence1-012%1-112%2-011%2-110%0-07%3-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-012%1-012%1-11-112%1-112%2-02-011%2-011%2-12-110%2-110%0-00-08%0-07%3-03-0—3-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat81%81%81%
12 – no draw74%76%76%
Over 1.5 goals74%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals74%72%72%
1 – Mirassol win56%57% · Elo 56%57%· Elo 56%
Under 2.5 goals52%50%50%
Both teams to score: no52%50%50%
Over 2.5 goals48%50%50%
Both teams to score: yes48%50%50%
X2 – away team avoid defeat43%43%43%
Under 1.5 goals26%25%25%
Over 3.5 goals26%28%28%
X – draw25%24% · Elo 25%24%· Elo 25%
2 – Remo win18%19% · Elo 19%19%· Elo 19%
Attack vs defence
Mirassol attack vs Remo defenceattack1510defence1428+82 pts to the attack
Remo attack vs Mirassol defenceattack1424defence1499−75 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Remo matches average only 3.4 cards (league 5.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Mirassol concede a lot late on: 12 of 26 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Remo: newly promoted
  • Remo played 3 days ago
  • Mirassol: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
15Mirassol30891334:4433
19Remo305101533:4825
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Mirassol vs Remo?

Mirassol 2-1 Remo (half time 1-1).

Did the Mirassol vs Remo tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 5.5. The tip won.