Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 28
Dalian Yingbo vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 8hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%53%O2.560%51%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1
H2Hlast 3 meetings
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1:1Dalian YingboD
- Dalian Yingbo2:1Shenzhen XinpengchengW
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1:1Dalian YingboD
Dalian Yingbo's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 0 losses2.3 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 10.1under 10.5: 62%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.9over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 18%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.1total 3.1Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.7
Dalian Yingbo : Shenzhen XinpengchengMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-08%2-110%2-09%0-0—0-1—3-16%Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-17%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-08%1-011%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-09%0-00-0—0-07%0-10-1—0-17%3-13-16%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82%75% | 75% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 79%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60%51% | 51% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59%53% | 53% |
| 1 – Dalian Yingbo win | 56%50% · Elo 55% | 50%· Elo 55% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 44%50% | 50% |
| Both teams to score: no | 41%47% | 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40%49% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 23%25% · Elo 25% | 25%· Elo 25% |
| 2 – Shenzhen Xinpengcheng win | 21%25% · Elo 20% | 25%· Elo 20% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
Dalian Yingbo attack vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng defenceattack1437defence1442−5 pts to the attack
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng attack vs Dalian Yingbo defenceattack1414defence1507−93 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 57%close to the league averageunder 43%over
We expect 9.3 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.570%59%
8.557%52%
9.545%42%
10.533%31%
Each team on its own
Dalian Yingbowe expect 5.9, league average 5.0 · chance of over 4.5: 68%
Shenzhen Xinpengchengwe expect 3.8, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 52%
Foulsleague average
Over 23.5 · 67%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 34%over
We expect 26.5 in this match, 23.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.572%52%
23.567%45%
24.560%39%
25.554%32%
Each team on its own
Dalian Yingbowe expect 13.5, league average 11.3 · chance of over 11.5: 67%
Shenzhen Xinpengchengwe expect 13.4, league average 12.0 · chance of over 11.5: 66%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 60%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 40%over
We expect 4.2 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.578%60%
3.560%43%
4.541%27%
5.525%18%
Each team on its own
Dalian Yingbowe expect 3.1, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 79%
Shenzhen Xinpengchengwe expect 1.3, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng concede a lot late on: 13 of 32 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Dalian Yingbo: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Shenzhen Xinpengcheng: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
Dalian Yingbo
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Dalian Yingbo | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 42:42 | 43 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:47 | 29 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Dalian Yingbo vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
Dalian Yingbo are the favourites. Chances: Dalian Yingbo win 56%, draw 23%, Shenzhen Xinpengcheng win 21%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Dalian Yingbo vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
Expected goals: 3.1 (Dalian Yingbo 2.0, Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 60%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Dalian Yingbo vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
The chance that both teams score is 59%.
When is Dalian Yingbo vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng?
The Chinese Super League match kicks off 17 October 2026, 12:00 (UK time).