1. LigaMatchday 10

Brno 0-1 Jablonec: prediction, tips and result

·

Brno
3-21-00-42-10-2
0-1Full time(half time 0-0)
Jablonec
1-10-23-01-21-1
Stadium:
Mestsky Fotbalovy Stadion Srbska, Brno
Referee:
Daniel Vokoun

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – Jablonec (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won64%

Jablonec: under 2.5 card points in 8 of their last 9 league matches, Brno's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 7 of 9 (58% of league matches); 1.4 card points a match, Brno's opponents collected 1.4 card points on average, league average 2.4; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Offsides: Under 2.5Lost69%

    1.6 offsides a match in the hosts' matches, 1.4 in the visitors', league average 2.4; under 2.5 offsides in 6 of the hosts' last 9 league matches and 9 of the visitors' last 9 (62% of league matches)

  • Fouls – Jablonec: Under 12.5Lost68%

    Brno's opponents committed under 12.5 in 9 of 9 (56% of league matches); our numbers for Jablonec: 11.0 fouls against a league average of 12.1

  • Shots on Target – Brno: Under 4.5Won62%

    Brno: 3.8 shots on target a match, Jablonec's opponents had 3.4 on average, league average 4.4; under 4.5 shots on target in 6 of their last 9 league matches, Jablonec's opponents had under 4.5 in 7 of 9 (56% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards – Jablonec (yellow=1, red=2): Under 1.5Won38%

Jablonec: 1.4 card points a match, Brno's opponents collected 1.4 card points on average, league average 2.4; under 1.5 card points in 5 of their last 9 league matches, Brno's opponents collected under 1.5 card points in 5 of 9 (34% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBrno148336%29%Draw28%28%Jablonec163036%43%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%53%O2.550%48%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.3not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Jablonec1:0BrnoL
  2. Brno1:2JablonecL
  3. Jablonec3:1BrnoL
  4. Brno1:2JablonecL
  5. Jablonec0:1BrnoW
Brno's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.6league 9.9under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 9.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.4league 3.8under 3.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 3.4 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.won · ended 3
RefereeD. Vokoun−0.4 yellow cards vs average24 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)73%1X1:2coverageleague 75% · H2H 3/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.3total 2.6Attack/defence1.3 : 1.3total 2.6
Brno : Jablonec
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-18%1-08%1-28%2-18%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-09%1-28%2-18%0-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-18%0-110%1-01-08%1-09%1-21-28%1-28%2-12-18%2-18%0-00-0—0-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals76%73%73%
12 – no draw72%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals72%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%62%62%
X2 – away team avoid defeat64%66%66%
Both teams to score: yes55%53%53%
Over 2.5 goals50%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals50%52%52%
Both teams to score: no45%47%47%
1 – Brno win36%35% · Elo 29%35%· Elo 29%
2 – Jablonec win36%38% · Elo 43%38%· Elo 43%
X – draw28%27% · Elo 28%27%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals28%26%26%
Under 1.5 goals24%27%27%
Attack vs defence
Brno attack vs Jablonec defenceattack1427defence1520−93 pts to the attack
Jablonec attack vs Brno defenceattack1528defence1434+94 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 8.3 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.558%61%
8.545%45%
9.533%30%
10.522%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Brnowe expect 4.0, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 38%
Jablonecwe expect 4.2, league average 3.8 · chance of over 3.5: 59%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 22.4 in this match, 23.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
22.547%56%
23.541%50%
24.534%45%
25.528%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Brnowe expect 10.4, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 36%
Jablonecwe expect 11.0, league average 12.1 · chance of over 12.5: 32%
Referee: 23.1 fouls per match on average (9 matches in our data)+2.0 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 69%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 31%
We expect 1.9 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
1.557%66%
2.531%38%
3.513%20%
4.55%12%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Brnowe expect 0.7, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 17%
Jablonecwe expect 1.1, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 31%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Brno: newly promoted
  • Brno: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Jablonec: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Brno

Jablonec

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Jablonec1052312:917
8Brno1051412:1316
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Brno vs Jablonec?

Brno 0-1 Jablonec (half time 0-0).

Did the Brno vs Jablonec tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – Jablonec (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5. The tip won.

See also