1. LigaMatchday 12
Hradec Kralove vs Jablonec: prediction, tips and stats
·
Our tips
Tip in 11d 8hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%O2.541%43%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Jablonec1:1Hradec KraloveD
- Hradec Kralove2:0JablonecW
- Jablonec2:0Hradec KraloveL
- Hradec Kralove1:1JablonecD
- Jablonec2:0Hradec KraloveL
Hradec Kralove's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.9over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.3 : 1.1total 2.3Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.4
Hradec Kralove : JablonecMost likely scores
Model1-114%1-011%0-011%0-110%2-18%2-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-09%0-19%2-19%2-08%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%1-01-011%1-011%0-00-011%0-09%0-10-110%0-19%2-12-18%2-19%2-02-0—2-08%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 79%78% | 78% |
| 12 – no draw | 70%72% | 72% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 69%70% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69%69% | 69% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 61%59% | 59% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41%43% | 43% |
| 1 – Hradec Kralove win | 39%41% · Elo 41% | 41%· Elo 41% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32%31% | 31% |
| 2 – Jablonec win | 31%31% · Elo 31% | 31%· Elo 31% |
| X – draw | 30%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21%22% | 22% |
Attack vs defence
Hradec Kralove attack vs Jablonec defenceattack1464defence1530−66 pts to the attack
Jablonec attack vs Hradec Kralove defenceattack1525defence1542−17 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.556%61%
8.543%45%
9.531%31%
10.521%19%
Each team on its own
Hradec Kralovewe expect 3.8, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 33%
Jablonecwe expect 4.2, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 59%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 51%close to the league averageunderover 50%
We expect 23.7 in this match, 23.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.556%56%
23.550%50%
24.543%44%
25.536%36%
Each team on its own
Hradec Kralovewe expect 11.7, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 49%
Jablonecwe expect 12.1, league average 12.1 · chance of over 12.5: 43%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 66%close to the league averageunderover 34%
We expect 2.1 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.561%66%
2.534%37%
3.516%20%
4.56%12%
Each team on its own
Hradec Kralovewe expect 0.9, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 25%
Jablonecwe expect 1.1, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 30%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jablonec | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | 17 |
| 9 | Hradec Kralove | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Hradec Kralove vs Jablonec?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Hradec Kralove win 39%, draw 30%, Jablonec win 31%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Hradec Kralove vs Jablonec?
Expected goals: 2.3 (Hradec Kralove 1.3, Jablonec 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 41%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Hradec Kralove vs Jablonec?
The 1. Liga match kicks off 25 October 2026, 12:00 (UK time).