1. LigaMatchday 11
Jablonec vs Plzen: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 10hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%57%O2.552%53%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.4
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Plzen5:0JablonecL
- Jablonec3:3PlzenD
- Plzen1:1JablonecD
- Plzen4:1JablonecL
- Plzen3:2JablonecL
Jablonec's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses4.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.5total 2.8Attack/defence1.4 : 1.4total 2.8
Jablonec : PlzenMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-29%2-18%1-0—0-18%0-07%Attack/defence1-112%1-28%2-19%1-08%0-18%0-07%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-112%1-21-29%1-28%2-12-18%2-19%1-01-0—1-08%0-10-18%0-18%0-00-07%0-07%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 77%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70%69% | 69% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 68%61% | 61% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 58%65% | 65% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57%57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52%53% | 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 48%47% | 47% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%43% | 43% |
| 2 – Plzen win | 42%35% · Elo 39% | 35%· Elo 39% |
| 1 – Jablonec win | 32%39% · Elo 32% | 39%· Elo 32% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%31% | 31% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Jablonec attack vs Plzen defenceattack1525defence1542−17 pts to the attack
Plzen attack vs Jablonec defenceattack1630defence1530+100 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 56%close to the league averageunderover 44%
We expect 8.3 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.558%61%
8.544%45%
9.532%31%
10.522%19%
Each team on its own
Jablonecwe expect 4.8, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 51%
Plzenwe expect 3.5, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 46%
Foulsleague average
Under 23.5 · 52%close to the league averageunderover 48%
We expect 23.5 in this match, 23.6 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.22.555%56%
23.548%50%
24.541%44%
25.535%36%
Each team on its own
Jablonecwe expect 11.1, league average 11.5 · chance of over 11.5: 44%
Plzenwe expect 12.4, league average 12.1 · chance of over 12.5: 46%
Offsidesleague average
Under 2.5 · 68%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 32%
We expect 2.0 in this match, 2.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.559%66%
2.532%37%
3.515%20%
4.56%12%
Each team on its own
Jablonecwe expect 1.1, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 30%
Plzenwe expect 0.9, league average 1.2 · chance of over 1.5: 22%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Plzen: only 13 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Jablonec: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Plzen: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jablonec | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | 17 |
| 10 | Plzen | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20:17 | 13 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Jablonec vs Plzen?
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Jablonec win 32%, draw 26%, Plzen win 42%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Jablonec vs Plzen?
Expected goals: 2.8 (Jablonec 1.3, Plzen 1.5). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 52%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Jablonec vs Plzen?
The chance that both teams score is 57%.
When is Jablonec vs Plzen?
The 1. Liga match kicks off 18 October 2026, 17:00 (UK time).