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1. DivisionMatchday 13

Aarhus Fremad 2-0 Hillerod: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Riisvang Stadion, Aarhus

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

The match in numbers

1X2Elo

Aarhus Fremad130843%39%Draw26%28%Hillerod130230%33%favourite won

Goalsattack/defence

BTTS58%50%O2.555%45%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.1not both scored

H2Hlast 3 meetings

  1. Hillerod1:1Aarhus FremadD
  2. Hillerod1:0Aarhus FremadL
  3. Aarhus Fremad3:1HillerodW
Aarhus Fremad's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss2.3 goals per match

Cornersleague cornersin line with the league

9.6league 9.8under 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.6 in this match, 9.8 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 6

Yellow cardsleague yellowsin line with the league

3.2league 3.2under 3.5: 60%Expected yellow cards: 3.2 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 8%.lost · ended 5

Referee

no referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.6 : 1.3total 2.9Attack/defence1.4 : 1.1total 2.5
Aarhus Fremad : Hillerod

Most likely scores

Market1-112%1-08%2-19%0-1—0-0—2-07%1-27%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%0-19%0-09%2-08%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-08%1-011%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%0-00-0—0-09%2-02-07%2-08%1-21-27%1-2—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%70%70%
12 – no draw73%72%72%
1X – home team avoid defeat69%70%70%
Under 3.5 goals68%77%77%
Both teams to score: yes58%50%50%
X2 – away team avoid defeat56%58%58%
Over 2.5 goals55%45%45%
Under 2.5 goals45%55%55%
1 – Aarhus Fremad win43%42% · Elo 39%42%· Elo 39%
Both teams to score: no42%50%50%
Over 3.5 goals32%23%23%
2 – Hillerod win30%30% · Elo 33%30%· Elo 33%
X – draw26%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals21%30%30%

Attack vs defence

Aarhus Fremad attack vs Hillerod defenceattack1481defence1492−11 pts to the attack
Hillerod attack vs Aarhus Fremad defenceattack1497defence1563−66 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average

Under 8.5 · 55%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 8.3 in this match, 8.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.558%62%
8.545%53%
9.533%46%
10.523%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Aarhus Fremadwe expect 3.9, league average 4.6 · chance of over 4.5: 36%
Hillerodwe expect 4.0, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 38%

Foulsleague average

Under 20.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 19.8 in this match, 20.1 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.550%47%
20.543%46%
21.536%43%
22.529%36%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Aarhus Fremadwe expect 8.7, league average 9.9 · chance of over 9.5: 38%
Hillerodwe expect 11.1, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 54%

Offsidesleague average

Under 3.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.566%63%
3.545%42%
4.527%29%
5.514%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Aarhus Fremadwe expect 1.7, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
Hillerodwe expect 1.7, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 49%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Aarhus Fremad score only 0.7 goals per game (last 10 league matches)
  • Aarhus Fremad: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Hillerod: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoalsPts
5Aarhus Fremad1346312:1118
8Hillerod1443718:2115
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Aarhus Fremad vs Hillerod?

Aarhus Fremad 2-0 Hillerod (half time 1-0).