SuperligaMatchday 11
Lyngby vs Nordsjaelland: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 4d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%58%O2.563%56%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.7
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Lyngby1:0NordsjaellandW
- Nordsjaelland1:1LyngbyD
- Nordsjaelland3:2LyngbyL
- Lyngby1:1NordsjaellandD
- Lyngby1:1NordsjaellandD
Lyngby's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.9over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.3under 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.9total 3.2Attack/defence1.2 : 1.7total 2.9
Lyngby : NordsjaellandMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-210%0-17%0-27%2-16%1-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-210%0-19%0-28%2-17%1-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-210%1-210%0-10-17%0-19%0-20-27%0-28%2-12-16%2-17%1-01-0—1-06%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84%79% | 79% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 75%73% | 73% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64%58% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63%56% | 56% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59%66% | 66% |
| 2 – Nordsjaelland win | 51%48% · Elo 61% | 48%· Elo 61% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 49%52% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41%34% | 34% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37%44% | 44% |
| Both teams to score: no | 36%42% | 42% |
| 1 – Lyngby win | 25%28% · Elo 16% | 28%· Elo 16% |
| X – draw | 24%25% · Elo 23% | 25%· Elo 23% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16%21% | 21% |
Attack vs defence
Lyngby attack vs Nordsjaelland defenceattack1423defence1562−139 pts to the attack
Nordsjaelland attack vs Lyngby defenceattack1539defence1408+131 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 9.5 · 61%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 8.9 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.8.552%53%
9.539%41%
10.528%34%
11.519%24%
Each team on its own
Lyngbywe expect 4.7, league average 5.0 · chance of over 5.5: 34%
Nordsjaellandwe expect 4.0, league average 4.0 · chance of over 4.5: 37%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 60%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 40%over
We expect 22.2 in this match, 20.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.567%57%
20.560%51%
21.553%39%
22.546%33%
Each team on its own
Lyngbywe expect 10.7, league average 10.0 · chance of over 10.5: 50%
Nordsjaellandwe expect 11.7, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 60%
Offsidesleague average
Over 2.5 · 58%close to the league averageunder 42%over
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.1.580%80%
2.558%54%
3.536%34%
4.520%18%
Each team on its own
Lyngbywe expect 1.8, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
Nordsjaellandwe expect 1.3, league average 1.3 · chance of over 1.5: 37%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Lyngby concede 2.1 goals per game
- Lyngby: only 7 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 13 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Nordsjaelland score a lot late on: 10 of 25 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Lyngby: newly promoted
- Lyngby: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Nordsjaelland: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nordsjaelland | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 18 |
| 11 | Lyngby | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:21 | 7 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Lyngby vs Nordsjaelland?
Nordsjaelland are the favourites. Chances: Lyngby win 25%, draw 24%, Nordsjaelland win 51%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Lyngby vs Nordsjaelland?
Expected goals: 3.2 (Lyngby 1.3, Nordsjaelland 1.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 63%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Lyngby vs Nordsjaelland?
The chance that both teams score is 64%.
When is Lyngby vs Nordsjaelland?
The Superliga match kicks off 18 October 2026, 13:00 (UK time).