ChampionshipMatchday 9

Blackburn 2-1 Cardiff: prediction, tips and result

·

Blackburn
0-01-21-23-12-2
2-1Full time(half time 2-0)
Cardiff
3-10-11-10-21-2
Stadium:
Ewood Park, Blackburn
Referee:
Tom Nield

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – Blackburn (yellow=1, red=2): Over 1.5Lost59%

Blackburn: 3.0 card points a match, Cardiff's opponents collected 2.4 card points on average, league average 1.7; over 1.5 card points in 6 of their last 8 league matches, Cardiff's opponents collected over 1.5 card points in 6 of 8 (54% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Both Teams To Score: YesWon62%

    goals at both ends in 7 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 8 (58% of league matches)

  • Shots on Target – Cardiff: Over 3.5Lost62%

    Cardiff: 6.2 shots on target a match, league average 3.6; our numbers for Cardiff: 4.4 shots on target against a league average of 3.6

  • Fouls – Cardiff: Under 10.5Won63%

    our numbers for Cardiff: 9.6 fouls against a league average of 10.6

  • Offsides: Over 3.5Won57%

    our numbers: 4.0 offsides against a league average of 3.7

For the brave
Cards – Blackburn (yellow=1, red=2): Over 2.5Lost32%

Blackburn: over 2.5 card points in 5 of their last 8 league matches, Cardiff's opponents collected over 2.5 card points in 3 of 8 (24% of league matches); 3.0 card points a match, Cardiff's opponents collected 2.4 card points on average, league average 1.7; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBlackburn154434%47%Draw26%27%Cardiff147940%26%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS60%52%O2.557%47%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Blackburn1:2CardiffL
  2. Cardiff1:3BlackburnW
  3. Cardiff0:0BlackburnD
  4. Blackburn1:0CardiffW
  5. Blackburn1:0CardiffW
Blackburn's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.8 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.8league 10.4over 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.8 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 46% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 17
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 3.8over 3.5: 55%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 6%.lost · ended 1
RefereeT. Nield−0.2 yellow cards vs average28 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)72%O2.51:1coverageleague 63% · H2H 2/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.5total 2.9Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.6
Blackburn : Cardiff
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-06%1-29%0-17%2-18%0-0—Attack/defence1-113%1-010%1-28%0-19%2-19%0-08%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-113%1-01-06%1-010%1-21-29%1-28%0-10-17%0-19%2-12-18%2-19%0-00-0—0-08%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals80%72%72%
12 – no draw74%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%60%60%
Under 3.5 goals66%74%74%
1X – home team avoid defeat60%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes60%52%52%
Over 2.5 goals57%47%47%
Under 2.5 goals43%53%53%
2 – Cardiff win40%33% · Elo 26%33%· Elo 26%
Both teams to score: no40%48%48%
1 – Blackburn win34%40% · Elo 47%40%· Elo 47%
Over 3.5 goals34%26%26%
X – draw26%27% · Elo 27%27%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals20%28%28%
Attack vs defence
Blackburn attack vs Cardiff defenceattack1433defence1489−56 pts to the attack
Cardiff attack vs Blackburn defenceattack1522defence1509+13 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 62%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 38%over
We expect 8.6 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.574%67%
7.562%55%
8.549%39%
9.536%29%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Blackburnwe expect 4.5, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 46%
Cardiffwe expect 4.4, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 62%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 46%over
We expect 21.3 in this match, 20.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.561%57%
20.554%47%
21.547%37%
22.540%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Blackburnwe expect 11.2, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 66%
Cardiffwe expect 9.6, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 37%
Referee: 20.9 fouls per match on average (27 matches in our data)+0.8 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 4.0 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.576%66%
3.557%48%
4.538%31%
5.522%19%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Blackburnwe expect 2.6, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 71%
Cardiffwe expect 1.5, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 44%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Blackburn: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Cardiff: newly promoted
  • Blackburn: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Cardiff: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Blackburn

Cardiff

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
7Blackburn1043315:1315
18Cardiff1024416:1510
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Blackburn vs Cardiff?

Blackburn 2-1 Cardiff (half time 2-0).

Did the Blackburn vs Cardiff tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – Blackburn (yellow=1, red=2): Over 1.5. The tip lost.

See also