ChampionshipMatchday 6
Cardiff 1-1 Stoke: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
- Referee:
- Sam Allison
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost60%
our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost38%
over 3.5 goals in 2 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 5 (25% of league matches); our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS62%54%O2.560%51%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Cardiff0:1StokeL
- Stoke2:2CardiffD
- Cardiff2:1StokeW
- Stoke0:0CardiffD
- Cardiff1:1StokeD
Cardiff's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.4under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.9over 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.lost · ended 3
RefereeS. Allison0.0 cards vs average26 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.8 : 1.4total 3.2Attack/defence1.6 : 1.1total 2.7
Cardiff : StokeMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-07%2-19%2-07%0-0—0-1—1-27%Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-19%2-09%0-07%0-17%1-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-07%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-07%2-09%0-00-0—0-07%0-10-1—0-17%1-21-27%1-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 72%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62%72% | 72% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62%54% | 54% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 60%51% | 51% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 55%52% | 52% |
| 1 – Cardiff win | 46%48% · Elo 38% | 48%· Elo 38% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40%49% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%28% | 28% |
| Both teams to score: no | 38%46% | 46% |
| 2 – Stoke win | 29%26% · Elo 34% | 26%· Elo 34% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
Cardiff attack vs Stoke defenceattack1510defence1460+50 pts to the attack
Stoke attack vs Cardiff defenceattack1448defence1475−27 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Stoke concede 2.0 goals per game
- Cardiff: newly promoted
- Cardiff played 3 days ago
- Stoke played 3 days ago
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Stoke | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 16 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Cardiff vs Stoke?
Cardiff 1-1 Stoke (half time 0-1).
Did the Cardiff vs Stoke tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.