ChampionshipMatchday 5

Stoke 4-0 Charlton: prediction, tips and result

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4-0Full time(half time 4-0)
Stadium:
bet365 Stadium, Stoke
Referee:
Robert Madley

The match in numbers

1X2EloStoke152747%39%Draw28%28%Charlton149124%34%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS48%50%O2.543%44%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Charlton1:0StokeL
  2. Stoke3:0CharltonW
  3. Stoke3:1CharltonW
  4. Charlton3:1StokeL
  5. Charlton1:0StokeL
Stoke's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.4under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.9league 3.9over 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 5
RefereeR. Madley+0.2 cards vs average20 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.0total 2.4Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.4
Stoke : Charlton
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-012%0-010%0-1—2-09%2-19%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-09%0-19%2-08%2-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-012%1-011%0-00-010%0-09%0-10-1—0-19%2-02-09%2-08%2-12-19%2-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals78%77%77%
1X – home team avoid defeat75%69%69%
12 – no draw71%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals70%70%70%
Under 2.5 goals57%56%56%
X2 – away team avoid defeat52%59%59%
Both teams to score: no52%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes48%50%50%
1 – Stoke win47%41% · Elo 39%41%· Elo 39%
Over 2.5 goals43%44%44%
Under 1.5 goals30%30%30%
X – draw28%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
2 – Charlton win24%31% · Elo 34%31%· Elo 34%
Over 3.5 goals22%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Stoke attack vs Charlton defenceattack1430defence1486−56 pts to the attack
Charlton attack vs Stoke defenceattack1431defence1458−27 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Stoke concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Stoke score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Stoke: only 4 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 11 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Charlton played 3 days ago
  • Stoke: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Stoke1051417:1616
12Charlton1035210:1314
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Stoke vs Charlton?

Stoke 4-0 Charlton (half time 4-0).