ChampionshipMatchday 4

Stoke 1-0 Norwich: prediction, tips and result

·

1-0Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
bet365 Stadium, Stoke
Referee:
Andrew Kitchen

The match in numbers

1X2EloStoke153228%28%Draw27%27%Norwich159744%45%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%55%O2.549%50%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Norwich0:2StokeW
  2. Stoke1:1NorwichD
  3. Norwich4:2StokeL
  4. Stoke1:1NorwichD
  5. Stoke0:3NorwichL
Stoke's record: 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.5under 10.5: 57%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.9over 3.5: 51%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 4
RefereeA. Kitchen−0.7 cards vs average33 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.5total 2.7Attack/defence1.3 : 1.4total 2.7
Stoke : Norwich
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-110%1-29%1-0—0-08%0-28%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%0-19%1-28%1-09%0-07%0-2—2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-110%0-19%1-21-29%1-28%1-01-0—1-09%0-00-08%0-07%0-20-28%0-2—2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals75%75%75%
12 – no draw72%73%73%
Under 3.5 goals72%72%72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat71%65%65%
1X – home team avoid defeat55%62%62%
Both teams to score: yes54%55%55%
Under 2.5 goals51%50%50%
Over 2.5 goals49%50%50%
Both teams to score: no46%45%45%
2 – Norwich win44%38% · Elo 45%38%· Elo 45%
1 – Stoke win28%35% · Elo 28%35%· Elo 28%
Over 3.5 goals28%28%28%
X – draw27%27% · Elo 27%27%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals25%25%25%
Attack vs defence
Stoke attack vs Norwich defenceattack1434defence1507−73 pts to the attack
Norwich attack vs Stoke defenceattack1533defence1452+81 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Stoke concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Norwich matches average 5.4 cards (league 3.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Stoke: 7 defeats in a row
  • Stoke: only 4 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 12 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Stoke played 3 days ago
  • Norwich played 3 days ago

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Stoke1051417:1616
19Norwich930617:199
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Stoke vs Norwich?

Stoke 1-0 Norwich (half time 1-0).