ChampionshipMatchday 7
Bolton 1-0 Cardiff: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Toughsheet Community Stadium, Horwich
- Referee:
- Thomas Parsons
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost62%
our numbers: 3.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost40%
our numbers: 3.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6; over 3.5 goals in 3 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 2 of the visitors' last 6 (25% of league matches)
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%56%O2.562%52%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Cardiff2:0BoltonL
- Bolton1:0CardiffW
- Cardiff2:0BoltonL
- Bolton2:0CardiffW
- Cardiff2:1BoltonL
Bolton's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.8league 10.4over 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.8 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 12
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.9under 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 7
RefereeT. Parsons−0.5 cards vs average30 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.7total 3.3Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.8
Bolton : CardiffMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-0—2-18%1-29%0-16%2-0—2-27%Attack/defence1-112%1-09%2-19%1-27%0-18%2-07%2-2—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-0—1-09%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-29%1-27%0-10-16%0-18%2-02-0—2-07%2-22-27%2-2—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 65%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65%56% | 56% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 62%52% | 52% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 61%70% | 70% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60%70% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40%30% | 30% |
| 2 – Cardiff win | 39%30% · Elo 36% | 30%· Elo 36% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38%48% | 48% |
| 1 – Bolton win | 35%44% · Elo 36% | 44%· Elo 36% |
| Both teams to score: no | 35%44% | 44% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Bolton attack vs Cardiff defenceattack1496defence1476+20 pts to the attack
Cardiff attack vs Bolton defenceattack1511defence1482+29 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Bolton: 4 defeats in a row
- Bolton: newly promoted
- Cardiff: newly promoted
- Bolton: 4 days since the last match, 4 matches in the last 14 days.
- Cardiff: 4 days since the last match, 4 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | 13 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Bolton vs Cardiff?
Bolton 1-0 Cardiff (half time 0-0).
Did the Bolton vs Cardiff tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.