ChampionshipMatchday 10
Portsmouth vs Sheffield United: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 11h 7mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%54%O2.549%49%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Portsmouth0:1Sheffield UnitedL
- Sheffield United3:0PortsmouthL
- Sheffield United2:1PortsmouthL
- Portsmouth0:0Sheffield UnitedD
- Portsmouth3:0Sheffield UnitedW
Portsmouth's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.4under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 10%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.2total 2.7Attack/defence1.4 : 1.2total 2.6
Portsmouth : Sheffield UnitedMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-09%2-19%0-1—0-08%2-08%1-2—Attack/defence1-113%1-010%2-19%0-19%0-08%2-0—1-28%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-09%1-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-19%0-00-08%0-08%2-02-08%2-0—1-21-2—1-28%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%74% | 74% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%73% | 73% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72%73% | 73% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 70%67% | 67% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 57%60% | 60% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54%54% | 54% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51%51% | 51% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49%49% | 49% |
| Both teams to score: no | 46%46% | 46% |
| 1 – Portsmouth win | 43%40% · Elo 33% | 40%· Elo 33% |
| 2 – Sheffield United win | 30%33% · Elo 39% | 33%· Elo 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28%27% | 27% |
| X – draw | 27%27% · Elo 28% | 27%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%26% | 26% |
Attack vs defence
Portsmouth attack vs Sheffield United defenceattack1467defence1500−33 pts to the attack
Sheffield United attack vs Portsmouth defenceattack1528defence1496+32 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 58%close to the league averageunderover 42%
We expect 8.1 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.555%56%
8.542%40%
9.530%31%
10.520%20%
Each team on its own
Portsmouthwe expect 4.6, league average 4.5 · chance of over 4.5: 48%
Sheffield Unitedwe expect 3.5, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 46%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 68%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 32%over
We expect 23.4 in this match, 20.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.574%56%
20.568%46%
21.561%37%
22.554%33%
Each team on its own
Portsmouthwe expect 12.2, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 75%
Sheffield Unitedwe expect 11.5, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 58%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 57%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 43%over
We expect 4.1 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.576%66%
3.557%50%
4.538%32%
5.523%19%
Each team on its own
Portsmouthwe expect 1.9, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 54%
Sheffield Unitedwe expect 2.2, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 64%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Portsmouth played 3 days ago
- Sheffield United: 4 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Sheffield United | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Portsmouth vs Sheffield United?
Portsmouth are the favourites. Chances: Portsmouth win 43%, draw 27%, Sheffield United win 30%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Portsmouth vs Sheffield United?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Portsmouth 1.5, Sheffield United 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 49%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Portsmouth vs Sheffield United?
The chance that both teams score is 54%.
When is Portsmouth vs Sheffield United?
The Championship match kicks off 14 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).