ChampionshipMatchday 9

West Ham 1-1 QPR: prediction, tips and result

·

West Ham
4-23-03-26-02-2
1-1Full time(half time 0-1)
QPR
2-21-10-00-12-1
Stadium:
London Stadium, London
Referee:
Rueben Ricardo

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost62%

our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7; over 2.5 goals in 7 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 8 (53% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Match Result: West HamLost66%

    West Ham: won 3 of their last 4 league matches at home

  • Cards – QPR (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Lost67%

    QPR: 1.9 card points a match, West Ham's opponents collected 1.4 card points on average, league average 2.2; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

  • Offsides: Under 3.5Won64%

    2.5 offsides a match in the hosts' matches, 2.6 in the visitors', league average 3.7; our numbers: 3.1 offsides against a league average of 3.7

  • Fouls: Under 20.5Won60%

    under 20.5 fouls in 6 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 8 (53% of league matches)

  • Shots on Target – QPR: Over 3.5Lost55%

    QPR: over 3.5 shots on target in 6 of their last 8 league matches, West Ham's opponents had over 3.5 in 6 of 8 (47% of league matches); 4.9 shots on target a match, West Ham's opponents had 3.8 on average, league average 3.6

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost40%

over 3.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 8 league matches and 2 of the visitors' last 8 (27% of league matches); our numbers: 3.2 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloWest Ham190668%79%Draw18%13%QPR154914%8%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%57%O2.565%56%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. QPR0:0West HamD
  2. West Ham2:0QPRW
  3. West Ham1:1QPRD
  4. QPR1:2West HamW
  5. West Ham2:1QPRW
West Ham's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.4under 10.5: 52%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.4 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 5
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.won · ended 7
RefereeR. Ricardo+0.6 yellow cards vs average3 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)73%O2.52:0coverageleague 55% · H2H 3/5not covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.4 : 1.0total 3.4Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.9
West Ham : QPR
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-010%2-110%1-08%3-08%1-2—0-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-08%2-110%1-09%3-0—1-27%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%2-02-010%2-08%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-08%1-09%3-03-08%3-0—1-21-2—1-27%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat86%74%74%
Over 1.5 goals85%79%79%
12 – no draw82%76%76%
1 – West Ham win68%50% · Elo 79%50%· Elo 79%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals65%56%56%
Under 3.5 goals57%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes57%57%57%
Over 3.5 goals43%33%33%
Both teams to score: no43%43%43%
Under 2.5 goals35%44%44%
X2 – away team avoid defeat32%50%50%
X – draw18%24% · Elo 13%24%· Elo 13%
Under 1.5 goals15%21%21%
2 – QPR win14%26% · Elo 8%26%· Elo 8%
Attack vs defence
West Ham attack vs QPR defenceattack1566defence1485+81 pts to the attack
QPR attack vs West Ham defenceattack1502defence1501+1 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 61%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 39%over
We expect 8.5 in this match, 8.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.573%67%
7.561%55%
8.548%39%
9.535%30%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
West Hamwe expect 4.9, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 53%
QPRwe expect 4.0, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 55%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 19.4 in this match, 20.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.547%57%
20.540%47%
21.533%37%
22.526%33%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
West Hamwe expect 9.0, league average 9.7 · chance of over 9.5: 41%
QPRwe expect 10.2, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 44%
Referee: 20.7 fouls per match on average (3 matches in our data)+0.6 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 64%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 36%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.559%66%
3.536%48%
4.520%31%
5.59%19%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
West Hamwe expect 1.6, league average 1.9 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
QPRwe expect 1.4, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 39%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • West Ham: newly promoted
  • West Ham: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • QPR: 20 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

West Ham

QPR

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5West Ham944123:1216
8QPR935111:814
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of West Ham vs QPR?

West Ham 1-1 QPR (half time 0-1).

Did the West Ham vs QPR tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.

See also