ChampionshipMatchday 8
Millwall 2-2 West Ham: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- The Den, London
- Referee:
- Paul Tierney
Our tips
Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won58%
over 2.5 goals in 6 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 7 (52% of league matches); our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6
For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won36%
over 3.5 goals in 4 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 7 (26% of league matches); our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%56%O2.558%52%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- West Ham2:1MillwallL
- Millwall0:0West HamD
- West Ham1:1MillwallD
- Millwall1:0West HamW
- Millwall4:1West HamW
Millwall's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.5under 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.9under 3.5: 54%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 6
RefereeP. Tierney−0.6 cards vs average23 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 2.0total 3.1Attack/defence1.5 : 1.2total 2.7
Millwall : West HamMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-210%1-0—2-1—0-29%0-19%2-0—1-37%Attack/defence1-112%1-27%1-09%2-19%0-2—0-18%2-08%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-210%1-27%1-01-0—1-09%2-12-1—2-19%0-20-29%0-2—0-10-19%0-18%2-02-0—2-08%1-31-37%1-3—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 81%76% | 76% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 81%56% | 56% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64%71% | 71% |
| 2 – West Ham win | 58%30% · Elo 64% | 30%· Elo 64% |
| Our tip: Over 2.5 goals | 58%52% | 52% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57%56% | 56% |
| Both teams to score: no | 43%44% | 44% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 42%70% | 70% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42%48% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 23%26% · Elo 21% | 26%· Elo 21% |
| 1 – Millwall win | 19%44% · Elo 15% | 44%· Elo 15% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19%24% | 24% |
Attack vs defence
Millwall attack vs West Ham defenceattack1522defence1502+20 pts to the attack
West Ham attack vs Millwall defenceattack1565defence1540+25 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- West Ham: 4 wins in a row
- West Ham: newly promoted
- Millwall: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- West Ham: 8 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 16 |
| 10 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Millwall vs West Ham?
Millwall 2-2 West Ham (half time 2-0).
Did the Millwall vs West Ham tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.