League OneMatchday 13
Blackpool vs Mansfield: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 8hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS56%O2.551%53%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Blackpool1:0MansfieldW
- Mansfield2:0BlackpoolL
- Blackpool3:3MansfieldD
- Mansfield2:0BlackpoolL
- Blackpool0:1MansfieldL
Blackpool's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.6league 10.5under 10.5: 51%Expected corners: 10.6 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.7under 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.5 : 1.3total 2.7Attack/defence1.5 : 1.3total 2.8
Blackpool : MansfieldMost likely scores
Model1-112%1-010%2-19%0-18%1-28%2-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-09%2-19%0-18%1-28%2-07%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-010%1-09%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-18%0-18%1-21-28%1-28%2-02-0—2-07%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%74% | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71%70% | 70% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 68%67% | 67% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 58%59% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%53% | 53% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49%47% | 47% |
| 1 – Blackpool win | 42%41% · Elo 38% | 41%· Elo 38% |
| 2 – Mansfield win | 32%33% · Elo 35% | 33%· Elo 35% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29%30% | 30% |
| X – draw | 25%26% · Elo 28% | 26%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%23% | 23% |
Attack vs defence
Blackpool attack vs Mansfield defenceattack1501defence1508−7 pts to the attack
Mansfield attack vs Blackpool defenceattack1518defence1487+31 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 59%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 8.3 in this match, 7.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.571%61%
7.559%43%
8.545%30%
9.533%17%
Each team on its own
Blackpoolwe expect 4.3, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 61%
Mansfieldwe expect 4.7, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 67%
Foulsleague average
Over 18.5 · 58%close to the league averageunder 42%over
We expect 19.8 in this match, 18.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.17.565%56%
18.558%53%
19.550%53%
20.543%51%
Each team on its own
Blackpoolwe expect 9.4, league average 8.9 · chance of over 8.5: 58%
Mansfieldwe expect 10.5, league average 9.8 · chance of over 9.5: 59%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 65%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 35%
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.557%60%
3.535%43%
4.518%23%
5.58%14%
Each team on its own
Blackpoolwe expect 1.2, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 34%
Mansfieldwe expect 1.7, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 51%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Blackpool matches average 12.8 corners (league 10.5) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Blackpool: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Mansfield: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mansfield | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 11 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Blackpool vs Mansfield?
Blackpool are the favourites. Chances: Blackpool win 42%, draw 25%, Mansfield win 32%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Blackpool vs Mansfield?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Blackpool 1.5, Mansfield 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 51%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Blackpool vs Mansfield?
The League One match kicks off 24 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).