League OneMatchday 12

AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield: prediction, tips and stats

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AFC Wimbledon
2-01-00-01-11-2
1.2:1.3Pre-match
Mansfield
2-12-20-00-10-5

Our tips

Tip in 6d 5h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.

The match in numbers

1X2EloAFC Wimbledon124035%28%Draw28%27%Mansfield136637%45%
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%O2.547%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.3
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Mansfield2:2AFC WimbledonD
  2. AFC Wimbledon0:0MansfieldD
  3. AFC Wimbledon2:1MansfieldW
  4. Mansfield0:0AFC WimbledonD
  5. AFC Wimbledon1:3MansfieldL
AFC Wimbledon's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.5under 10.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.7over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 1.4total 2.7Attack/defence1.2 : 1.3total 2.6
AFC Wimbledon : Mansfield
Most likely scores
Market1-113%0-18%1-08%1-28%0-0—2-18%Attack/defence1-113%0-110%1-09%1-28%0-08%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%0-10-18%0-110%1-01-08%1-09%1-21-28%1-28%0-00-0—0-08%2-12-18%2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
12 – no draw72%73%73%
X2 – away team avoid defeat65%66%66%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%61%61%
2 – Mansfield win37%39% · Elo 45%39%· Elo 45%
1 – AFC Wimbledon win35%34% · Elo 28%34%· Elo 28%
X – draw28%27% · Elo 27%27%· Elo 27%
Attack vs defence
AFC Wimbledon attack vs Mansfield defenceattack1395defence1508−113 pts to the attack
Mansfield attack vs AFC Wimbledon defenceattack1518defence1471+47 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 7.2 in this match, 7.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.558%61%
7.543%43%
8.531%30%
9.520%17%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
AFC Wimbledonwe expect 3.5, league average 3.7 · chance of over 3.5: 47%
Mansfieldwe expect 3.7, league average 3.5 · chance of over 3.5: 50%
Foulsleague average
Over 18.5 · 67%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 33%over
We expect 21.1 in this match, 18.7 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
17.574%56%
18.567%53%
19.560%53%
20.552%51%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
AFC Wimbledonwe expect 10.0, league average 8.9 · chance of over 8.5: 65%
Mansfieldwe expect 11.4, league average 9.8 · chance of over 9.5: 68%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 61%close to the league averageunderover 39%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.561%60%
3.539%43%
4.521%23%
5.510%14%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
AFC Wimbledonwe expect 1.3, league average 1.5 · chance of over 1.5: 36%
Mansfieldwe expect 1.9, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 56%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • AFC Wimbledon score only 0.7 goals per game
  • AFC Wimbledon played 3 days ago
  • Mansfield: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

AFC Wimbledon

Mansfield

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11AFC Wimbledon93337:1012
14Mansfield832312:1411
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield?

It is an evenly matched game. Chances: AFC Wimbledon win 35%, draw 28%, Mansfield win 37%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.

How many goals will there be in AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield?

Expected goals: 2.7 (AFC Wimbledon 1.3, Mansfield 1.4). Most likely score: 1-1.

When is AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield?

The League One match kicks off 20 October 2026, 19:45 (UK time).

See also