League OneMatchday 10

Plymouth 2-1 AFC Wimbledon: prediction, tips and result

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Plymouth
3-23-04-20-12-0
2-1Full time(half time 1-1)
AFC Wimbledon
1-10-01-02-01-4
Stadium:
Home Park, Plymouth

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Match Result: PlymouthWon66%

Plymouth: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; won 5 of their last 9 league matches

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:0Lost11%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPlymouth146166%65%Draw20%20%AFC Wimbledon124014%15%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS53%53%O2.558%55%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. AFC Wimbledon1:3PlymouthW
  2. Plymouth1:2AFC WimbledonL
  3. Plymouth2:0AFC WimbledonW
  4. AFC Wimbledon0:1PlymouthW
  5. Plymouth1:0AFC WimbledonW
Plymouth's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.5league 10.3under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.5 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 13
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.9league 3.7over 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.9 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.lost · ended 1
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)71%U3.53:1coverageleague 77% · H2H 5/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.1 : 0.9total 3.0Attack/defence1.9 : 1.0total 2.9
Plymouth : AFC Wimbledon
Most likely scores
Market2-011%1-110%1-010%2-110%3-08%3-1—Attack/defence2-010%1-111%1-010%2-110%3-07%3-16%
MarketAttack/defence2-02-011%2-010%1-11-110%1-111%1-01-010%1-010%2-12-110%2-110%3-03-08%3-07%3-13-1—3-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat86%82%82%
Over 1.5 goals81%78%78%
12 – no draw80%77%77%
Our tip: 1 – Plymouth win66%59% · Elo 65%59%· Elo 65%
Under 3.5 goals64%67%67%
Over 2.5 goals58%55%55%
Both teams to score: yes53%53%53%
Both teams to score: no47%47%47%
Under 2.5 goals42%45%45%
Over 3.5 goals36%33%33%
X2 – away team avoid defeat34%41%41%
X – draw20%23% · Elo 20%23%· Elo 20%
Under 1.5 goals19%22%22%
2 – AFC Wimbledon win14%18% · Elo 15%18%· Elo 15%
Attack vs defence
Plymouth attack vs AFC Wimbledon defenceattack1605defence1471+134 pts to the attack
AFC Wimbledon attack vs Plymouth defenceattack1395defence1519−124 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 66%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 35%
We expect 6.6 in this match, 7.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.549%61%
7.535%44%
8.523%29%
9.514%16%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Plymouthwe expect 3.5, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 45%
AFC Wimbledonwe expect 2.8, league average 3.6 · chance of over 3.5: 31%
Foulsleague average
Over 18.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 48%over
We expect 19.1 in this match, 18.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
17.560%56%
18.553%53%
19.545%53%
20.537%52%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Plymouthwe expect 9.4, league average 9.0 · chance of over 9.5: 47%
AFC Wimbledonwe expect 9.7, league average 9.8 · chance of over 9.5: 50%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.567%56%
3.546%39%
4.528%23%
5.515%14%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Plymouthwe expect 1.9, league average 1.4 · chance of over 1.5: 54%
AFC Wimbledonwe expect 1.6, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 48%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • AFC Wimbledon score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Plymouth: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • AFC Wimbledon: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

Plymouth

AFC Wimbledon

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Plymouth1061318:1219
11AFC Wimbledon93337:1012
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon?

Plymouth 2-1 AFC Wimbledon (half time 1-1).

Did the Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: Plymouth. The tip won.

See also