League OneMatchday 13
Reading vs Barnsley: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 8hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%O2.565%67%|exp. goals 2.2 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Reading2:2BarnsleyD
- Barnsley3:2ReadingL
- Reading2:4BarnsleyL
- Barnsley2:2ReadingD
- Barnsley2:2ReadingD
Reading's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses4.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.5under 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.7over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model2.0 : 1.3total 3.3Attack/defence2.2 : 1.2total 3.4
Reading : BarnsleyMost likely scores
Model2-110%1-19%2-07%1-07%3-17%3-0—Attack/defence2-110%1-19%2-08%1-07%3-17%3-06%
ModelAttack/defence2-12-110%2-110%1-11-19%1-19%2-02-07%2-08%1-01-07%1-07%3-13-17%3-17%3-03-0—3-06%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84%86% | 86% |
| 12 – no draw | 79%80% | 80% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 76%81% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65%67% | 67% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58%55% | 55% |
| 1 – Reading win | 54%60% · Elo 53% | 60%· Elo 53% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 46%40% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42%45% | 45% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36%33% | 33% |
| 2 – Barnsley win | 24%19% · Elo 22% | 19%· Elo 22% |
| X – draw | 21%20% · Elo 25% | 20%· Elo 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16%14% | 14% |
Attack vs defence
Reading attack vs Barnsley defenceattack1614defence1397+217 pts to the attack
Barnsley attack vs Reading defenceattack1504defence1514−10 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Barnsley matches average 13.1 corners (league 10.5) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
- Reading played 3 days ago
- Barnsley: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Reading | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 19 | Barnsley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Reading vs Barnsley?
Reading are the favourites. Chances: Reading win 54%, draw 21%, Barnsley win 24%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Reading vs Barnsley?
Expected goals: 3.3 (Reading 2.0, Barnsley 1.3). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 65%. Most likely score: 2-1.
When is Reading vs Barnsley?
The League One match kicks off 24 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).