League OneMatchday 12
Reading vs Leyton Orient: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 7d 9hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%O2.555%59%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.2
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Leyton Orient3:1ReadingL
- Reading2:1Leyton OrientW
- Leyton Orient2:0ReadingL
- Reading0:1Leyton OrientL
- Reading1:1Leyton OrientD
Reading's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.5under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.5 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.7over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 9%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.7 : 1.2total 2.9Attack/defence1.9 : 1.2total 3.1
Reading : Leyton OrientMost likely scores
Model1-111%2-110%1-09%2-08%1-27%3-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-09%2-08%1-26%3-16%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-110%2-110%1-01-09%1-09%2-02-08%2-08%1-21-27%1-26%3-13-1—3-16%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78%81% | 81% |
| 12 – no draw | 76%77% | 77% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 72%76% | 76% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67%63% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55%59% | 59% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 52%47% | 47% |
| 1 – Reading win | 48%53% · Elo 50% | 53%· Elo 50% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45%41% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33%37% | 37% |
| 2 – Leyton Orient win | 28%24% · Elo 24% | 24%· Elo 24% |
| X – draw | 24%23% · Elo 26% | 23%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22%19% | 19% |
Attack vs defence
Reading attack vs Leyton Orient defenceattack1614defence1495+119 pts to the attack
Leyton Orient attack vs Reading defenceattack1497defence1514−17 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Reading | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 22:11 | 15 |
| 12 | Leyton Orient | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 11 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Reading vs Leyton Orient?
Reading are the favourites. Chances: Reading win 48%, draw 24%, Leyton Orient win 28%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Reading vs Leyton Orient?
Expected goals: 2.9 (Reading 1.7, Leyton Orient 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 55%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Reading vs Leyton Orient?
The League One match kicks off 21 October 2026, 20:00 (UK time).