League TwoMatchday 13
Barnet vs Oldham: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 10d 12hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%O2.551%50%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1
H2Hlast 2 meetings
- Barnet3:2OldhamW
- Oldham1:1BarnetD
Barnet's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses3.5 goals per match
too few to read anything intoCornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.6league 3.7under 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.6 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.6 : 1.1total 2.7Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.7
Barnet : OldhamMost likely scores
Model1-112%1-011%2-110%2-09%0-17%0-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-19%2-08%0-18%0-07%
ModelAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-01-011%1-010%2-12-110%2-19%2-02-09%2-08%0-10-17%0-18%0-00-0—0-07%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75%75% | 75% |
| 12 – no draw | 75%74% | 74% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 74%72% | 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71%72% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51%50% | 50% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 51%54% | 54% |
| 1 – Barnet win | 49%46% · Elo 52% | 46%· Elo 52% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49%50% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29%28% | 28% |
| 2 – Oldham win | 26%28% · Elo 22% | 28%· Elo 22% |
| X – draw | 25%26% · Elo 25% | 26%· Elo 25% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25%25% | 25% |
Attack vs defence
Barnet attack vs Oldham defenceattack1635defence1549+86 pts to the attack
Oldham attack vs Barnet defenceattack1521defence1507+14 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 40%
We expect 7.0 in this match, 7.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.554%61%
7.540%45%
8.528%27%
9.518%17%
Each team on its own
Barnetwe expect 3.9, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 36%
Oldhamwe expect 2.9, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 32%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 56%close to the league averageunder 44%over
We expect 21.7 in this match, 20.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.564%61%
20.556%57%
21.549%51%
22.542%45%
Each team on its own
Barnetwe expect 10.5, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 48%
Oldhamwe expect 11.3, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 56%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 64%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 36%over
We expect 4.4 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.581%58%
3.564%41%
4.545%28%
5.528%11%
Each team on its own
Barnetwe expect 1.8, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 53%
Oldhamwe expect 2.8, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 74%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Barnet score 2.8 goals per game
- Barnet: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Barnet: unbeaten in 17 matches
- Barnet: 24 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
- Barnet: 4 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Oldham: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Barnet | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:11 | 18 |
| 21 | Oldham | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | 8 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Barnet vs Oldham?
Barnet are the favourites. Chances: Barnet win 49%, draw 25%, Oldham win 26%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
How many goals will there be in Barnet vs Oldham?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Barnet 1.6, Oldham 1.1). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 51%. Most likely score: 1-1.
When is Barnet vs Oldham?
The League Two match kicks off 24 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).