League TwoMatchday 11
Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 6hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%49%O2.550%43%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.1
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Fleetwood Town1:0RotherhamW
- Rotherham2:4Fleetwood TownW
- Rotherham2:2Fleetwood TownD
- Rotherham3:2Fleetwood TownL
- Fleetwood Town2:0RotherhamW
Fleetwood Town's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.7league 9.9over 9.5: 50%Expected corners: 9.7 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.7over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.2total 2.7Attack/defence1.3 : 1.1total 2.4
Fleetwood Town : RotherhamMost likely scores
Market1-113%1-09%0-17%0-08%2-19%1-2—Attack/defence1-114%1-011%0-110%0-010%2-18%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-114%1-01-09%1-011%0-10-17%0-110%0-00-08%0-010%2-12-19%2-18%1-21-2—1-27%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76%69% | 69% |
| 12 – no draw | 73%72% | 72% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72%78% | 78% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 69%67% | 67% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 58%61% | 61% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%49% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50%43% | 43% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50%57% | 57% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%51% | 51% |
| 1 – Fleetwood Town win | 42%39% · Elo 33% | 39%· Elo 33% |
| 2 – Rotherham win | 31%33% · Elo 39% | 33%· Elo 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28%22% | 22% |
| X – draw | 27%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24%31% | 31% |
Attack vs defence
Fleetwood Town attack vs Rotherham defenceattack1482defence1508−26 pts to the attack
Rotherham attack vs Fleetwood Town defenceattack1516defence1504+12 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 7.4 in this match, 7.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.559%61%
7.545%45%
8.532%27%
9.522%17%
Each team on its own
Fleetwood Townwe expect 4.3, league average 4.2 · chance of over 4.5: 42%
Rotherhamwe expect 3.1, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 38%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 52%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunder 48%over
We expect 21.1 in this match, 20.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.19.559%61%
20.552%57%
21.545%51%
22.538%45%
Each team on its own
Fleetwood Townwe expect 10.1, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 43%
Rotherhamwe expect 11.0, league average 10.6 · chance of over 10.5: 53%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 65%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 35%
We expect 3.0 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.557%58%
3.535%41%
4.519%28%
5.59%11%
Each team on its own
Fleetwood Townwe expect 1.6, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 46%
Rotherhamwe expect 1.4, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 40%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Rotherham: newly promoted
- Fleetwood Town: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Rotherham: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 20 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham?
Fleetwood Town are the favourites. Chances: Fleetwood Town win 42%, draw 27%, Rotherham win 31%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham?
Expected goals: 2.7 (Fleetwood Town 1.5, Rotherham 1.2). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 50%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Will both teams score in Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham?
The chance that both teams score is 55%.
When is Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham?
The League Two match kicks off 17 October 2026, 12:30 (UK time).