League TwoMatchday 10

Port Vale 1-0 Grimsby: prediction, tips and result

·

Port Vale
0-01-30-11-00-2
1-0Full time(half time 1-0)
Grimsby
1-21-22-02-02-2
Stadium:
Vale Park, Stoke

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Corners: Over 9.5Won56%

over 9.5 corners in 4 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 9 (57% of league matches)

For the brave
Corners: Over 11.5Won33%

over 11.5 corners in 2 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 9 (30% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloPort Vale120133%41%Draw28%28%Grimsby119238%32%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS54%50%O2.548%44%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Port Vale2:2GrimsbyD
  2. Grimsby3:0Port ValeL
  3. Grimsby1:0Port ValeL
  4. Port Vale3:0GrimsbyW
  5. Grimsby5:2Port ValeL
Port Vale's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses3.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.2league 9.9over 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 12
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.6over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 48% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 2
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)71%1X0:1coverageleague 79% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 1.3total 2.5Attack/defence1.2 : 1.2total 2.4
Port Vale : Grimsby
Most likely scores
Market1-113%1-08%0-19%0-08%1-28%2-1—Attack/defence1-113%1-011%0-110%0-09%1-28%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-08%1-011%0-10-19%0-110%0-00-08%0-09%1-21-28%1-28%2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals74%70%70%
Under 3.5 goals74%77%77%
12 – no draw71%72%72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat66%64%64%
1X – home team avoid defeat61%65%65%
Both teams to score: yes54%50%50%
Under 2.5 goals52%56%56%
Over 2.5 goals48%44%44%
Both teams to score: no46%50%50%
2 – Grimsby win38%35% · Elo 32%35%· Elo 32%
1 – Port Vale win33%36% · Elo 41%36%· Elo 41%
X – draw28%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals26%30%30%
Over 3.5 goals26%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Port Vale attack vs Grimsby defenceattack1496defence1544−48 pts to the attack
Grimsby attack vs Port Vale defenceattack1568defence1532+36 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 7.3 in this match, 7.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.559%61%
7.545%45%
8.532%26%
9.521%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Port Valewe expect 3.9, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 34%
Grimsbywe expect 3.3, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 43%
Foulsleague average
Over 20.5 · 74%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 26%over
We expect 24.6 in this match, 20.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.580%61%
20.574%57%
21.568%50%
22.562%44%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Port Valewe expect 13.2, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 74%
Grimsbywe expect 11.9, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 62%
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 65%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 35%over
We expect 4.5 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.582%58%
3.565%42%
4.546%29%
5.530%12%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Port Valewe expect 1.2, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 33%
Grimsbywe expect 3.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 84%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Grimsby matches average 12.2 corners (league 9.9) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Port Vale: newly promoted
  • Port Vale: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Grimsby: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Port Vale

Grimsby

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Grimsby1034313:1113
22Port Vale82244:98
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Port Vale vs Grimsby?

Port Vale 1-0 Grimsby (half time 1-0).

Did the Port Vale vs Grimsby tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Corners: Over 9.5. The tip won.

See also