League TwoMatchday 10

York 1-1 Northampton: prediction, tips and result

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York
2-31-14-00-23-0
1-1Full time(half time 0-1)
Northampton
0-10-21-01-11-1
Stadium:
York`s LNER Community Stadium, York

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Match Result: YorkLost65%

York: won 4 of their last 4 league matches at home

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:0Lost12%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloYork111365%38%Draw21%28%Northampton114215%34%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS49%48%O2.554%43%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. York1:2NorthamptonL
  2. Northampton2:0YorkL
  3. Northampton3:0YorkL
  4. York1:1NorthamptonD
  5. Northampton0:2YorkW
York's record: 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.9over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 12
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.6under 3.5: 54%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.6 on average in the league.In this league 52% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 4
Refereeawaiting appointment
Dutching(several bets at once)75%11:1coverageleague 55% · H2H 2/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 0.8total 2.8Attack/defence1.4 : 1.0total 2.4
York : Northampton
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-011%2-012%2-110%0-0—0-1—3-08%Attack/defence1-113%1-012%2-09%2-19%0-010%0-19%3-0—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-113%1-01-011%1-012%2-02-012%2-09%2-12-110%2-19%0-00-0—0-010%0-10-1—0-19%3-03-08%3-0—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat86%73%73%
12 – no draw80%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals78%69%69%
Under 3.5 goals69%78%78%
Our tip: 1 – York win65%45% · Elo 38%45%· Elo 38%
Over 2.5 goals54%43%43%
Both teams to score: no51%52%52%
Both teams to score: yes49%48%48%
Under 2.5 goals46%57%57%
X2 – away team avoid defeat36%55%55%
Over 3.5 goals31%22%22%
Under 1.5 goals22%31%31%
X – draw21%28% · Elo 28%28%· Elo 28%
2 – Northampton win15%27% · Elo 34%27%· Elo 34%
Attack vs defence
York attack vs Northampton defenceattack1562defence1543+19 pts to the attack
Northampton attack vs York defenceattack1473defence1527−54 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 7.5 · 55%close to the league averageunderover 45%
We expect 7.4 in this match, 7.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.559%61%
7.545%45%
8.532%26%
9.522%18%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Yorkwe expect 4.3, league average 4.3 · chance of over 4.5: 43%
Northamptonwe expect 3.0, league average 3.1 · chance of over 3.5: 36%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 54%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 20.3 in this match, 20.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.554%61%
20.546%57%
21.539%50%
22.533%44%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Yorkwe expect 9.1, league average 10.2 · chance of over 10.5: 31%
Northamptonwe expect 11.3, league average 10.4 · chance of over 10.5: 56%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 62%close to the league averageunderover 38%
We expect 3.1 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.560%58%
3.538%42%
4.521%29%
5.510%12%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Yorkwe expect 1.5, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 45%
Northamptonwe expect 1.5, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 45%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • York: newly promoted
  • Northampton: newly promoted
  • York: 14 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Northampton: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

York

Northampton

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5York943217:1115
23Northampton81434:77
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of York vs Northampton?

York 1-1 Northampton (half time 0-1).

Did the York vs Northampton tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Match Result: York. The tip lost.

See also