Premier LeagueMatchday 5

Brentford 3-0 Chelsea: prediction, tips and result

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3-0Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Brentford Community Stadium, London
Referee:
Andrew Madley

The match in numbers

1X2EloBrentford204637%42%Draw26%28%Chelsea203337%30%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS66%61%O2.564%58%|exp. goals 1.6 : 1.4not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Chelsea2:0BrentfordL
  2. Brentford2:2ChelseaD
  3. Brentford0:0ChelseaD
  4. Chelsea2:1BrentfordL
  5. Brentford2:2ChelseaD
Brentford's record: 0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 16
Cardsleague cards4.1league 4.0over 3.5: 57%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.0 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.lost · ended 2
RefereeA. Madley−0.2 cards vs average35 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.6 : 1.6total 3.2Attack/defence1.6 : 1.4total 3.0
Brentford : Chelsea
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-18%1-28%1-05%2-27%0-1—Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-28%1-08%2-26%0-17%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%2-12-18%2-19%1-21-28%1-28%1-01-05%1-08%2-22-27%2-26%0-10-1—0-17%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals85%80%80%
12 – no draw74%75%75%
Both teams to score: yes66%61%61%
Over 2.5 goals64%58%58%
1X – home team avoid defeat63%66%66%
X2 – away team avoid defeat63%59%59%
Under 3.5 goals58%65%65%
Over 3.5 goals42%35%35%
1 – Brentford win37%41% · Elo 42%41%· Elo 42%
2 – Chelsea win37%34% · Elo 30%34%· Elo 30%
Under 2.5 goals36%42%42%
Both teams to score: no34%39%39%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals15%20%20%
Attack vs defence
Brentford attack vs Chelsea defenceattack1529defence1503+26 pts to the attack
Chelsea attack vs Brentford defenceattack1560defence1491+69 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Chelsea concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Chelsea matches average 5.4 cards (league 4.0) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Chelsea: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Chelsea: only 11 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 16 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Brentford: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Chelsea: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Brentford624012:610
6Chelsea631215:1310
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Brentford vs Chelsea?

Brentford 3-0 Chelsea (half time 0-0).