Premier LeagueMatchday 6

Liverpool 0-3 Man City: prediction, tips and result

·

Liverpool
2-22-22-00-01-0
0-3Full time(half time 0-0)
Man City
5-31-01-04-12-1
Stadium:
Anfield, Liverpool
Referee:
Christopher Kavanagh

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Cards – Man City (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Won63%

Man City: under 2.5 card points in 4 of their last 5 league matches, Liverpool's opponents collected under 2.5 card points in 4 of 5 (61% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

Other tips

  • Fouls – Man City: Under 10.5Lost59%

    our numbers for Man City: 10.0 fouls against a league average of 10.8

  • Shots on Target – Man City: Over 3.5Won62%

    our numbers for Man City: 4.4 shots on target against a league average of 3.9

For the brave
Cards – Man City (yellow=1, red=2): Under 1.5Lost37%

Man City: under 1.5 card points in 3 of their last 5 league matches, Liverpool's opponents collected under 1.5 card points in 3 of 5 (33% of league matches); scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloLiverpool210530%33%Draw26%28%Man City221745%39%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS63%59%O2.561%56%|exp. goals 1.4 : 1.5not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Liverpool1:2Man CityL
  2. Man City3:0LiverpoolL
  3. Man City0:2LiverpoolW
  4. Liverpool2:0Man CityW
  5. Liverpool1:1Man CityD
Liverpool's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.9over 9.5: 54%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.won · ended 5
RefereeC. Kavanagh0.0 yellow cards vs average40 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)74%O2.51:1coverageleague 68% · H2H 3/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.4 : 1.7total 3.1Attack/defence1.4 : 1.5total 2.9
Liverpool : Man City
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-29%2-17%0-17%1-0—0-27%2-2—Attack/defence1-112%1-29%2-18%0-18%1-07%0-2—2-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-29%1-29%2-12-17%2-18%0-10-17%0-18%1-01-0—1-07%0-20-27%0-2—2-22-2—2-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals83%79%79%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat71%64%64%
Both teams to score: yes63%59%59%
Under 3.5 goals62%66%66%
Over 2.5 goals61%56%56%
1X – home team avoid defeat56%61%61%
2 – Man City win45%39% · Elo 39%39%· Elo 39%
Under 2.5 goals39%44%44%
Over 3.5 goals38%34%34%
Both teams to score: no37%41%41%
1 – Liverpool win30%36% · Elo 33%36%· Elo 33%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals17%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Liverpool attack vs Man City defenceattack1578defence1610−32 pts to the attack
Man City attack vs Liverpool defenceattack1646defence1551+95 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Under 8.5 · 53%close to the league averageunderover 47%
We expect 8.4 in this match, 8.2 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.560%56%
8.547%45%
9.534%31%
10.524%20%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Liverpoolwe expect 4.2, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 40%
Man Citywe expect 4.4, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 62%
Foulsleague average
Over 21.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 22.0 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
20.558%52%
21.551%46%
22.544%37%
23.538%30%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Liverpoolwe expect 11.3, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 56%
Man Citywe expect 10.0, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 41%
Referee: 22.1 fouls per match on average (36 matches in our data)+1.1 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Over 3.5 · 51%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 49%over
We expect 3.7 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.572%62%
3.551%43%
4.532%23%
5.518%13%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Liverpoolwe expect 2.3, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 66%
Man Citywe expect 1.5, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 44%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Man City score 2.4 goals per game
  • Man City: 5 wins in a row
  • Liverpool: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Man City: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Liverpool

Man City

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Man City660016:518
9Liverpool62317:79
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Liverpool vs Man City?

Liverpool 0-3 Man City (half time 0-0).

Did the Liverpool vs Man City tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards – Man City (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5. The tip won.

See also