Premier LeagueMatchday 7
Man City vs Ipswich: prediction, tips and stats
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Our tips
Tip in 3d 11hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS52%53%O2.570%63%|exp. goals 2.4 : 0.9
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Ipswich0:6Man CityW
- Man City4:1IpswichW
- Ipswich2:1Man CityL
- Man City2:3IpswichL
- Man City1:0IpswichW
Man City's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses4.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 9.9over 9.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 9.5 corners.
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.7league 3.8over 3.5: 51%Expected yellow cards: 3.7 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.
Refereeawaiting appointment
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.8 : 0.8total 3.6Attack/defence2.4 : 0.9total 3.2
Man City : IpswichMost likely scores
Market2-011%3-010%2-18%1-0—1-1—3-18%4-07%Attack/defence2-011%3-09%2-110%1-09%1-18%3-18%4-0—
MarketAttack/defence2-02-011%2-011%3-03-010%3-09%2-12-18%2-110%1-01-0—1-09%1-11-1—1-18%3-13-18%3-18%4-04-07%4-0—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 93%88% | 88% |
| 12 – no draw | 88%82% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88%83% | 83% |
| 1 – Man City win | 80%71% · Elo 85% | 71%· Elo 85% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70%63% | 63% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52%53% | 53% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 51%59% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49%41% | 41% |
| Both teams to score: no | 48%47% | 47% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30%37% | 37% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 21%29% | 29% |
| X – draw | 13%18% · Elo 10% | 18%· Elo 10% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12%17% | 17% |
| 2 – Ipswich win | 8%12% · Elo 5% | 12%· Elo 5% |
Attack vs defence
Man City attack vs Ipswich defenceattack1651defence1409+242 pts to the attack
Ipswich attack vs Man City defenceattack1408defence1623−215 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 50%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 50%over
We expect 8.7 in this match, 8.3 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.7.563%57%
8.550%45%
9.538%32%
10.527%21%
Each team on its own
Man Citywe expect 5.3, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 60%
Ipswichwe expect 3.8, league average 3.9 · chance of over 3.5: 51%
Foulsleague average
Under 21.5 · 60%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 20.5 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.20.548%52%
21.541%46%
22.534%36%
23.528%30%
Each team on its own
Man Citywe expect 9.2, league average 10.3 · chance of over 10.5: 33%
Ipswichwe expect 11.2, league average 10.7 · chance of over 10.5: 55%
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 60%close to the league averageunderover 40%
We expect 3.2 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.2.562%63%
3.540%43%
4.523%23%
5.511%13%
Each team on its own
Man Citywe expect 1.6, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
Ipswichwe expect 1.6, league average 1.6 · chance of over 1.5: 47%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Streaks before the match
- Man City6 wins in a rowat home: 3Went on 54%League 38%Model 80%Record 18
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Man City score 2.4 goals per game
- Man City: 6 wins in a row
- Ipswich: newly promoted
- Man City: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Ipswich: 7 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:5 | 18 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:12 | 9 |
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Man City vs Ipswich?
Man City are the favourites. Chances: Man City win 80%, draw 13%, Ipswich win 8%. Chances from bookmaker odds with the margin removed.
How many goals will there be in Man City vs Ipswich?
Expected goals: 3.6 (Man City 2.8, Ipswich 0.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 70%. Most likely score: 2-0.
Will both teams score in Man City vs Ipswich?
The chance that both teams score is 52%.
When is Man City vs Ipswich?
The Premier League match kicks off 17 October 2026, 15:00 (UK time).